Well the season is just about over as the FHSAA State Finals will be raced this weekend in Tallahassee. Here's the last set of rankings as put together by our FACA Volunteer Pollster's for the 2013 Cross Country season! And let me give a big thank you to all of these coaches for their time and hard work all season long as they helped provide our running community with these rankings every couple of weeks. =)
Girls State Rankings by Classifications:
| 1A Girls Rankings | |||
| By: Nathan Means, Mount Dora Bible School, nathan.means@chbs.org | |||
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Team Rankings: |
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| Commentary: How does one predict the future? In the end, all these words are rubbish to be wiped away by an actual race - a race we all want to see. Is it Saturday yet? 1A girls will kick off the state meet Saturday morning while the 4A boys are probably still in bed. Holy Trinity and Oak Hall should go 1-2… but not necessarily in that order. No one else will touch them. The rest seem to be lumped into four "close" groups (3-8, 9-13, 14-17, and 18-24), where anyone can leapfrog anyone else on a good or bad performance. This is mostly based on a hand-calculated meet from course-adjusted regional times - Westminster is slow, Santa Fe a little fast, Alligator Park very fast, and Holy Trinity blindingly fast. ("Previous" ranks are from three weeks ago.) And with this, I close out my 3-year career as a pollster. If you might want to try your hand at this next year, let Ryan know. It's been fun! | |||
| Team Name, Region | (Prev.) | Comments: | |
| 1. | Holy Trinity Academy, R3 | (1) | 19:03 avg, 1:38 split, 1st R3 - Still the best, but vulnerable on the back end. Top five must all run well. |
| 2. | Oak Hall School, R2 | (2) | 19:34 avg, 1:01 split, 1st R2 - Just a tad behind, but a more solid 6-7. Ready to pounce if HT slips up. |
| 3. | Westminster Christian School, R4 | (6) | 20:49 avg, 2:14 split, 1st R4 - Dominating performance in Region 4, strong times on slow course |
| 4. | Shorecrest Prep, R3 | (4) | 20:00 avg, 2:33 split, 2nd R3 - Solid performers all year, might can nab third. |
| 5. | Community School of Naples, R3 | (5) | 20:12 avg, 1:58 split, 3rd R3 - Still a step behind Shorecrest. |
| 6. | Evangelical Christian School, R3 | (10) | 20:09 avg, 2:36 split, 4th R3 - Big move on a great Region 3 performance |
| 7. | Providence School, R1 | (3) | 20:25 avg, 1:39 split, 1st R1 - Wasn't really pushed in Region 1 meet, could leap back up to third. |
| 8. | First Academy (Orlando), R2 | (7) | 20:48 avg, 0:29 split, 2nd R2 - How can you not love a 29 second 1-5 split? That is a TEAM. |
| 9. | Circle Christian School, R2 | (12) | 21:06 avg, 3:13 split, 3rd R2 - Holding this spot very solidly |
| 10. | Brevard HEAT, R3 | (9) | 20:46 avg, 3:48 split, 5th R3 - Presure will be on to hold the 10 spot. |
| 11. | South Florida HEAT, R4 | (8) | 21:44 avg, 2:12 split, 2nd R4 - Will be interesting to see how they do on a fast course in nice weather |
| 12. | St. Johns Country Day School, R1 | (13) | 21:12 avg, 1:36 split, 2nd R1 - A strong showing could put them into the top ten |
| 13. | Father Lopez Catholic HS, R2 | (14) | 21:35 avg, 2:21 split, 4th R2 - Might can move up another spot or two with a good day |
| 14. | Lakeland Christian School, R2 | (NR) | 21:50 avg, 1:08 split, 5th R2 - Nice 1-5 split, but that can be a disadvantage at state. |
| 15. | Mount Dora Bible School, R2 | (NR) | 21:42 avg, 3:40 split, 6th R2 - Lost to LCS last week, but a stronger 1-2 might pull them up |
| 16. | Calvary Christian (Clearwater), R3 | (NR) | 21:21 avg, 3:52 split, 6th R3 - A top-5 #1 helps in a meet of this calibur |
| 17. | Maclay School, R1 | (11) | 21:43 avg, 1:57 split, 3rd R1 - Could go as high as 14, probably won't drop |
| 18. | Kings Academy, R4 | (NR) | 22:57 avg, 2:04 split, 3rd R4 - Tops in the back group |
| 19. | Westminster Academy, R4 | (NR) | 23:08 avg, 4:31 split, 4th R4 - Could catch Kings |
| 20. | Palmer Trinity School, R4 | (NR) | 23:53 avg, 5:43 split, 6th R4 - Stronger 1-2 than the rest should keep this surprise team up |
| 21. | Pensacola Christian Academy, R1 | (NR) | 22:32 avg, 1:04 split, 4th R1 - Nice tight group will have a fight from Miami Country Day |
| 22. | Miami Country Day School, R4 | (NR) | 23:21 avg, 2:14 split, 5th R4 - Could move up on a faster course and cool weather |
| 23. | Jay HS, R1 | (NR) | 23:31 avg, 5:37 split, 5th R1 - Solidly here. At state. |
| 24. | Aucilla Christian Academy, R1 | (NR) | 23:52 avg, 1:14 split, 6th R1 - Lots of teams are sitting at home on Saturday. Aucilla is NOT one of them. |
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Individual Rankings: |
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| Commentary: The girls from Region 3 are amazing. Yes, Holy Trinity is a fast course, but these girls have been at the top all year. The individual title is now up for grabs, with Julie reclaiming the top spot over Grace for a week, but Brittney possibly put herself into the mix out of Region 2. This list is completely based on regional results adjusted for relative course difficulty. | |||
| Athlete Name, Grade – Team | (Prev.) | Time, Comments: | |
| 1. | Julie Wollrath, 11 - Holy Trinity Academy | (2) | 18:14 @ R3, Won Region |
| 2. | Grace Casagrande, 12 - Cardinal Mooney | (1) | 18:19 @ R3, 2nd place |
| 3. | Brittney Olinger, 12 - Oak Hall School | (5) | 18:48 @ R2, Won Region |
| 4. | Hannah Brookover, 10 - Calvary Christian (Clearwater) | (21) | 18:31 @ R3, 3rd place |
| 5. | Alex Eaton, 12 - Shorecrest Prep | (4) | 18:36 @ R3, 4th place |
| 6. | Sarah Candiano, 11 - Evangelical Christian School | (3) | 18:45 @ R3, 5th place |
| 7. | Emily Chapman, 11 - Brevard HEAT | (8) | 18:48 @ R3, 6th place |
| 8. | Shelby Smith, 10 - Holy Trinity Academy | (7) | 18:50 @ R3, 7th place |
| 9. | Samantha Folio, 9 - Holy Trinity Academy | (12) | 18:58 @ R3, 8th place |
| 10. | Denae Chapman, 10 - Circle Christian School | (6) | 19:21 @ R2, 2nd place |
| 11. | Lindsay Tomaini, 10 - Community School of Naples | (9) | 19:03 @ R3, 9th place |
| 12. | Christina McKinney, 12 - Mount Dora Bible School | (14) | 19:32 @ R2, 3rd place |
| 13. | Victoria Hoppe, 11 - Westminster Christian | (NR) | 19:58 @ R4, Won Region |
| 14. | Talia Carlson, 9 - Oak Hall School | (22) | 19:41 @ R2, 4th place |
| 15. | Maleia Storum, 11 - Holy Trinity Academy | (10) | 19:18 @ R3, 10th place |
| 16. | Eden Meyer, 12 - Providence School | (11) | 19:29 @ R1, Won Region |
| 17. | Grace Blair, 8 - Oak Hall School | (NR) | 19:44 @ R2, 5th place |
| 18. | Ekaterina Loshkareva, 10 - Community School of Naples | (16) | 19:23 @ R3, 11th place |
| 19. | Lauren Perry, 9 - Oak Hall School | (13) | 19:49 @ R2, 6th place |
| 20. | Lindsay Rosenberg, 7 - Oak Hall | (19) | 19:49 @ R2, 7th place |
| 21. | Jillian Richter, 11 - Evangelical Christian | (24) | 19:30 @ R3, 12th place |
| 22. | Rebecca Clark, 7 - Mount Dora Bible School | (NR) | 19:54 @ R2, 8th place |
| 23. | Dana Thomas, 12 - Westminster Christian | (17) | 20:21 @ R4, 2nd place |
| 24. | Nadiria Evans, 9 - Oak Hall School | (15) | 19:57 @ R2, 9th place |
| 25. | Amanda Beach, 9 - Melbourne Central Catholic | (NR) | 19:37 @ R3, 13th place |
| 26. | Devin Bos, 12 - Circle Christian School | (NR) | 20:00 @ R2, 10th place |
| 27. | Sarah Deibner, 12 - Brevard HEAT | (20) | 19:39 @ R3, 14th place |
| 28. | Hailey Mira, 7 - Westminster Christian | (NR) | 20:26 @ R4, 3rd place |
| 29. | Sophia Vesely, 6 - Shorecrest Prep | (NR) | 19:40 @ R3, 15th place |
| 30. | Sloan Sylvan, 7 - Providence | (18) | 19:53 @ R1, 2nd place |
| 2A Girls Rankings | |||
| By: Mike Becker, Ransom Everglades, mbecker@ransomeverglades.org | |||
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Team Rankings: |
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| Commentary: In reverse order.....Region 4 Pine Crest dominates without 4th runner...... Key West ( as predicted) grabs 6th spot. Rockledge ( who would've been in top 15 at state gets left at home) Region 4 teams will place 4 teams in top 6, so says the crystal ball. Although Ransom earned 2nd place in this competitive region, both the 3rd and 4th place teams (Carrollton and Gibbons) defeated Ransom at 4 and 5 .... meaning these teams could be even closer or pass Ransom at state, where the field will be deeper. At some point, South Florida will stop running races in 80 degree weather, but until then time comparisons are useless. This takes us to Region 3 .. Academy of Holy Names holds on to make the crystal ball's prediction of all 4 region champions correct ( although barely). Berkeley and Anclote grab the two spots that were up for grabs ( Actually Berkeley should have been a given). It will tough for any of the teams from this region to break into the top 10, but it is possible for sure. Now Region 2..... surging Lake Highland Prep wins as was foretold.. All 6 teams that should have qualified, did so. That takes us to Region 1 wher Bolles obliterates a group of solid teams.....Bolles is as deep and as solid as a team could be. The are undefetaed at AA, and although they are young, they are expeienced ( and of course well coached). Pine Crest is even younger, and they have a modest confidence. Their aggressiveness in traveling hundreds of miles on several occassions was to prepare them for the chance to be prepared to match up with Bolles. So they are as ready as they could have been. But without Bolles' depth, Pine Crest has to improve even more, and be perfect through 5 to pull off an upset. Bolles on the other hand is so deep that their 8th runner would have been top 20 at state. Ransom, Carrollton, Lake Highland and Gibbons appear to have a shot for third. Of these teams, there is only one top ten runner in the bunch, so the one team whose pack stays closer will prevail for third. I still like West Florida Tech and LHP to be top ten FOR SURE. Its not impossibel for on eof these two teams to steal third. After that there is always a team that rises to the occassion at state. Some team that is listed after 10 on my list will finish top 10. Could be anyone..... I'll throw a dart at the wall and predict it will be Lemon Bay, Good luck to all and thanks for the input. | |||
| Team Name, Region | (Prev.) | Comments: | |
| 1. | Bolles | (1) | Destroys Region I, has been dominant all year, is a prohibitve favorite…. But… |
| 2. | Pine Crest | (2) | Their dominace in Region 4 ( toughest region) came without one of their top 5 running, and is one team with the ability to upset Bolles….. |
| 3. | Ransom Everglades | (3) | Improved as season went on… If all run well, they will get third, but they were beaten at 4 and 5 by Carrollton and Gibbons at regions… and … |
| 4. | Carrollton | (4) | Carrollton always right with RE and History projects them 4th, at least and watch out for …. |
| 5. | Lake Highland Prep | (6) | Improving weekly , has a shot to go as high as third |
| 6. | Cardinal Gibbons | (12) | Strong race, as was predicted, as regions… now they travel 400 miles one way to try to duplicate great race |
| 7. | West Florida Tech | (5) | Great season, one week to go |
| 8. | Trinity Prep | (8) | Seems to have lost a top runner? |
| 9. | Bishop Kenny | (9) | Solid as always |
| 10. | Eastside | (10) | Leader of a pack chasing tenth |
| 11. | Academy of Holy Names | (13) | wins a tie breaker over Lemon Bay |
| 12. | Lemon Bay | (11) | |
| 13. | Titusville | (7) | Very strong through 2 |
| 14. | Key West | (16) | Grabbed the 6th spot in toughest region, now they drive 1200 miles out and back as a reward |
| 15. | Bishop Moore | (17) | |
| 16. | Immokalee | (14) | |
| 17. | Wakulla | (NR) | |
| 18. | Pensacola Catholic | (NR) | |
| 19. | Labelle | (NR) | |
| 20. | Bishop Snyder | (NR) | |
| 21. | Berkeley Prep | (NR) | |
| 22. | Gulf | (NR) | |
| 23. | Nature Coast | (NR) | |
| 24. | Anclote | (NR) | |
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Individual Rankings: |
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| Commentary: Ther rankings represent what runners have earned based on a comparison of head to head matchups.... not times. However, who will really win? Even though its crystal, thecrystal ball doesn't see this as crystal clear. All year it has been muddied up by the facts that Harris is a rookie, Rogers didn't run big meets (and when she does run does so at times with training shoes), and that there is a 6th grader who has no track record on the big stage. But one cannot argue that Wilson is the harrier to beat. She defeated Montgomery twice. But its impossible to argue that Montogomery as a defending champion will go down easy. After one throws into the mix the talented Daesha Rogers (who has been runner up twice), the potential for chaos is there. I can see 5 runners within striking distance with 400 meters to go. The crysal ball will cautiously predict Wilson. Her excellent season earns her the favorite status. She is young, experienced, well coached and hungry. But I would not be the least bit surprised if Montgomery defended her championship. Never underestimate the heart of a champion, I have learned. The harder course will likely make life tougher for Rogers, but she has beaten these two girls at 5K before. If Yared or Harris, pull a rabbit out of the hat, it will be a big upset.... but the crsytal ball says it can happen. Grippo and Munoz win regions BIG, and will get on podium with top 10 finishers, but to win the race either of these two will need one more gear than they have shown this season. Munoz has chown that gear last year. That leaves Archer, who as a big meet performer will challenge for the top 5, Hajda who gets overlooked only because she is number 2 on her team, Castillo, Jovanovik and Shapiro. I have just given you eleven names...crystal ball says that 9 of them will finish in the top 10. And of course someone who I did not rank top ten, will run the race of her life and get a medal. It would be too wild a guess as to who it will be, but I have seen enough state and national races to be SURE it will happen,.... to identify the young lasy who is secretly peaking and is confident enough in herself to steal a medal is way beyond the crystal ball. | |||
| Athlete Name – Team | (Prev.) | Time, Comments: | |
| 1. | Mackenzie Wilson- Bolles | (1) | Has to be a favorite, consistent all year, and is running with motivation to win race for her team |
| 2. | Daesha Rogers - Jackson | (3) | Twice runner up, her only defeat at any level this year was an early season race to Archer and two Ferguson Girls (wearing training shoes) , but she hasn't raced outside of South Florida all season. Plus … there are those hills |
| 3. | Julia Montgomery - Pine Crest | (2) | Never underestimate the heart of a champion. Many a defending champion have proven that challengers were not ready yet. |
| 4. | Tsion Yared- Pine Crest | (4) | Hard to evaluate the performance of a 11 year old on this stage/ If her blood is made of ice, she can challenge for the gold |
| 5. | Madison Harris - Wakulla | (5) | Was defeated soundly by Wilson last week, but Regiosn is regions wjile States is States. Has proven to be ready for state finals in track. |
| 6. | Ally Hajda- Bolles | (6) | On the verge of top 5 |
| 7. | Lauren Archer- Ransom Everglades | (9) | Lauren has always been a big meet performer. This year figures to be nothing less. Don’t be fooled by slow region times. She is ready and is a proven state meet performer. |
| 8. | Kari Grippo - Gulf HS | (10) | Has the ability to crack the top 5 for sure - huge region domination |
| 9. | Katherine Jovanovik - Pine Crest | (7) | Medaled at state track in middle school 3200 - will be ready to rumble |
| 10. | Claire Castillo - Titusville | (8) | Call it prejudice, but I have 6 of the top 10 finishers coming from region 4 site of the sauna races. |
| 11. | Rachel Shapiro - Bolles | (11) | Only a number 3 but easily one of top runners in state |
| 12. | Anita Munoz-Immokallee | (12) | This one is an enigma - state track 3200 shows she is capable of top 5 |
| 13. | Meagan Giddeons-Taylor County | (14) | Been up there all year |
| 14. | Annie Penenieri- Bolles | (13) | These three are interchangeable |
| 15. | Lily Arnold - Bolles | (15) | Ditto |
| 16. | Suzanne Dannheim- Bolles | (16) | Ditto |
| 17. | Leigha Torrina - Marion | (17) | Solid all year |
| 18. | Michaela Ashley -Arnold | (18) | Solid all year |
| 19. | Katarina Stepanovich- Pine Crest | (19) | If Pine Crest wins, she will have to be better than 19 |
| 20. | Aoife Oriordon- Bolles | (20) | Another ditto |
| 21. | Marie Madiedo - Carrollton | (21) | Out of the money last week….. But is a tough competitor |
| 22. | Rachel Stockton- Lake Highland Prep | (23) | Young and hungry |
| 23. | Payton Woods - Trinity Christian | (NR) | Break up the Bolles kids gets you respect |
| 24. | Raleigh Nesbitt - West Florida Tech | (24) | Leader of a compettitive team usually does well at state |
| 25. | Kat Smith - Ransom Everglades | (NR) | Break out performance at regions |
| Others to watch for: | |||
| Amanda Schwartz - Pine Crest, Sofie Miguez Carrollton, Abigayle Weinfeld Lemon Bay, Colleenn Doherty Academy fo Holy names, Juliet Rhodes Trinity Prep. | |||
| 3A Girls Rankings | |||
| By: John Stevenson, Sarasota HS, john.stevenson@sarasotacountyschools.net | |||
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Team Rankings: |
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| Commentary: Well this is it!! States!! A few shockers this past week in Regionals so a little shake up in the rankings. These are based on what could happen at States. The clear victory goes to the undefeated Estero girls. Had trouble figuring out 3-5. Computer rankings have FWB, but Pace pulled off the upset at regionals and Ft. Myers beat both FWB and Pace at Pre-State so it's really up for grabs. The averages and spreads are from team's regional meets. Region 3 (Dover Trails) and Region 4 (South Fork) were the tougher courses with about 30 seconds slower than region 1 and region 2. | |||
| Team Name, Region | (Prev.) | Comments: | |
| 1. | Estero, 3 | (1) | 1st in R3, Mock State Meet Score - 48 points, Avg = 19:46, Spread 1:23. |
| Why they are ranked #1 - Estero has won every meet they have raced including Flrunners ROC and Pre-State Elite. This is their race to win. | |||
| How they'd win - Keep running as they have all season…pretty simple. | |||
| How they'd lose - alarms at the hotel don't go off...the only advantage Sarasota has is their spread, so if Estero's spread becomes too large then Sarasota can sneak in. | |||
| 2. | Sarasota, 3 | (2) | 2nd in R3, Mock State Meet Score - 88 points, Avg = 20:14, Spread 46 seconds. |
| Why they are ranked #2 - Sarasota moved up the rankings this season by racing consistently and having a deep team with a small spread. Of the 3A teams at Flrunners and Pre-State they finished 2nd to Estero in both races. | |||
| How they'd win - Depth and spread. They have to have their back end to sneak in front of Estero's 4 and 5 | |||
| How they'd lose - If another team is just better. Estero has proven themselves against Sarasota all year. | |||
| 3. | Fort Walton Beach, 1 | (4) | 2nd in R1, Mock State Meet Score - 164, Avg = 20:06. Spread 2:05 |
| Why they are ranked #3 - On paper they are 3rd, but they have their inconsistencies. Came in 2nd at the region meet against Pace, which was the 1st time this year FWB lost to Pace. Also went 1-1 against Ft. Myers. I think they have a little faster back end than Ft. Myers and FWB's spread is better than Pace and Ft. Myers. I expect a bounce back from regionals taking 3rd overall. | |||
| 4. | Ft. Myers, 3 | (3) | 3rd in R3, Mock State Meet Score - 204, Avg = 20:27, Spread 2:30 |
| Why they are ranked #4 - Lead by senior Emily Edwards but a relative young team. They were only 10 points behind Sarasota at Pre-State but at Region 3 the difference was 45 points. They have raced against FWB twice with taking the victory at Pre-State. They also placed higher at Pre-State against Pace, but the 3-5 placement of teams is wide open. | |||
| 5. | Pace, 1 | (5) | 1st in R1, Mock State Meet Score - 210, Avg = 20:16 Spread 1:47 |
| Why they are ranked #5 - 1st victory over FWB this season. They are running very well in the postseason with dominate performance at districts and taking region title narrowly against FWB. As mentioned before, I think 3-5 is too close so there is a case for Pace to be ranked 3rd or 4th. What is can hold Pace from beating Ft. Myers or FWB is their #5. | |||
| Solid top 10 teams - The only team that could possible crack the top 5 would be Seabreeze, but with the Ocala taking the regional 2 title then Seabreeze dropped in the rankings. All these teams are solid top 10 teams with mock scores > 240 except Seabreeze, their mock score is 212 which is right behind Pace. | |||
| 6. | Ocala Vanguard. 2 | (10) | 1st in R2. Avg = 20:11, 1:20 Spread |
| 7. | Seabreeze, 2 | (6) | 2nd in R2. Avg = 20:05, 2:20 Spread |
| 8. | Nease, 1 | (9) | 3rd in R1. Avg = 20:16, 2:22 Spread |
| 9. | Creekside, 1 | (8) | 4th in R1. Avg = 20:28, 1:18 Spread |
| Possible top 10 teams - These teams have been hovering or cracked the top 10 all season. Lakewood Ranch would have been a solid top 10 team but Gulf Coast placed ahead of them at the region 3 meet. In the mock meet, LWR is actually really close to Ocala Vanguard so it won't be a surprise LWR places higher than 10. Mock scores are > 296 except LWR at 248. | |||
| 10. | Lakewood Ranch, 3 | (7) | 5th in R3. Avg = 21:10, 1:57 Spread |
| 11. | Gulf Coast, 3 | (11) | 4th in R3. Avg = 20:55, 2:48 Spread |
| 12. | Niceville, 1 | (12) | 5th in R1. Avg = 20:51, 1:16 Spread |
| 13. | Merritt Island, 4 | (13) | 1st in R4. Avg = 20:54, 1:05 Spread |
| Top 15 Hopefuls - These are solid teams but not enough fire power for top 10, but being in top 15 is a great accomplishment. The advantage always go with the smaller spread teams | |||
| 14. | Ponte Vedra, 1 | NR | 6th in R1. Avg = 21:06, 1:16 spread |
| 15. | North Fort Myers 3 | NR | 6th in R3, Avg = 21:45. 1:31 spread |
| 16. | Miami Central | NR | 2nd in R4. Avg = 21:30. 1:23 spread |
| 17. | Mitchell | NR | 3rd in R2. Avg = 21:07. 3:25 spread |
| 18. | Lake Nona | NR | 5th in R2. Avg = 21:18. 2:06 spread |
| 19. | Gainesville | NR | 4th in R2. Avg = 21:18. 2:39 spread |
| The rest - teams are thrilled to attend the state meet and running at a great course. Enjoy the experience. | |||
| 20. | South Fork | NR | 3rd in R4. Avg = 21:43. 3:20 spread |
| 21. | Mainland | NR | 6th in R2. Avg = 21:31. 2:49 spread |
| 22. | Suncoast | NR | 4th in R4. Avg = 22:03. 1:21 spread |
| 23. | Doral Academy Charter | NR | 5th in R4. Avg = 22:00. 4:30 spread |
| 24. | Archbishop McCarthy | NR | 6th in R4. Avg = 22:19. 2:13 spread |
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Individual Rankings: |
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| Commentary: A few upsets this weekend! Xiang had her first lost of the season. Interesting to see how she bounces and back and to see if she changes her strategy at states. Edwards defended her regional title with a very well run race. Emma with the big upset from coming behind against Karen. The state race is going to be a joy to watch. I think it's a 5 lady battle between Xiang, Edwards, Barlow, Leon, and Rudman. All times in the ranking are from regionals. Region 3 (Dover Trails) and Region 4 (South Fork) were slower courses so subtracted 30 seconds from times, which made rankings a mess. So I think with so much talent that the top 25 is all up for grabs and you need to be on your game. | |||
| Athlete Name, Grade – Team | (Prev.) | Time, Comments: | |
| 1. | Emily Edwards, 12, Ft. Myers | 3 | 18:57. I would say a big statement race. She's ready and my pick to take the title. |
| 2. | Araceli Leon, 12, Estero | 4 | 19:04. Was with Emily for all but last 400. |
| 3. | Emma Rudman, 10, Fort Walton | 5 | 18:44. Huge victory! Big confidence booster to run with top ladies at states. |
| 4. | Karen Xiang, 12, Nease | 1 | 18:46. Pretty much ran all alone till the end and Emma passed her. |
| 5. | Caroline Barlow, 12, Gulf Coast | 2 | 19:18. In the lead pack at regionals but not enough. I bet she is happy to come back to ARP this week. |
| 6. | Amber Philpott, 10, Springstead | 13 | 18:53. Outstanding performance for this new runner! Having an outstanding postseason. |
| 7. | Devin Molloy, 9, Barron Collier | 6 | 19:26. Gutsy run for the freshman. She was the lead pack for the 1st mile but the seniors just have too much. |
| 8. | Kianna Bonnet, 10, Seebreeze | NR | 18:57. Regional 2 runner-up. Great run and just 4 secs off 1st place. |
| 9. | Sneha Sathish, 10, King | NR | 19:31. Had a well run race at Dover trails. Didn't get sucked in with the lead pack and just held her own throughout the race. |
| 10. | Daley Cline, 10, Estero | 8 | 19:33. Took out hard with lead pack at Region 3. Faded a little near the end but a solid #2 runner for Estero |
| 11. | Bethany Hardcastle, 11, South Fork | 25 | 19:33. Region 4 champion! Has been ranked all season and running well when it matters. |
| 12. | Angelina Grebe, 11, Sarasota | 14 | 19:46. Consistent run at Region 3. Worked her well up after mile 1. Will need to push a little more at States to catch Estero's pack. |
| 13. | Destiny Johnson, 12, Homestead Senior | NR | 19:46. Running to a PR at tough Region 4 course. Running very well in post-season |
| 14. | Megan Giovanniello, 9, Ida S. Baker | 21 | 19:48. Edged out Salcedo at the line. Great finish to watch. |
| 15. | Breeana Salcedo, 10, Cypress Lake | 19 | 19:48. Just got out kicked…maybe a little pay back this week in Tally |
| 16. | Emily Kerns, 11, Mitchell | NR | 19:19. Putting up great times when it matters. Went out hard but just couldn't hold on. |
| 17. | Bethany Jenkins, 12, Estero | 15 | 19:50. Her knee might be bothering her, but she is running more consistent now. Expect the senior to go out with a bang. |
| 18. | Lianna Farnesi, 11, Doral Academy Charter | NR | 19:53. Placed 3rd in Region 4. |
| 19. | Hannah Giangaspro, 12, Bartram Trail | 10 | 19:24. 3rd place at region 1. Moved up very well after mile 1. |
| 20. | Audrey Carpenter, 11, Ocala Vanguard | 11 | 19:25. Might be disappointed with region race, but ran well at Pre-State so expect a bounce back |
| 21. | Katie Slater, 12, Estero | 17 | 19:56. Right behind her teammate Jenkins. Finishing her XC high school career with 4th state team title. |
| 22. | Eliana Ochoa, 10, Brandon | NR | 20:02. Just missed top 10 at tough region 3 |
| 23. | Tabatha Henergy, 12, Okeechobee | 20 | 20:04. 4th place in Region 4. |
| 24. | Elizabeth Murray, 10, Seabreeze | NR | 19:37. 5th place in Region 2 |
| 25. | Cheyenne Andrew, 12, Pace | 9 | 19:39. 4th place in Region 1 |
| 4A Girls Rankings | |||
| By: Ryan Raposo, John A. Ferguson HS, ryanraposo@gmail.com | |||
|
Team Rankings |
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| Commentary: Looking at the rankings below here's a few thoughts. Winter Park is still your hands down favorite; they didn't need to kill themselves to earn a Region win, so a slower average doesn't matter. St. Thomas is back in a cushy second position with the re-emergence of Christina Kalis; much of their success rides on her individually. Ferguson, with their ridiculously bad Region average drops them out of the top 5, but assuming Katrina Santiago just finishes in a typical time for herself, their average drops to about 20:10 (before course adjustments), so 3rd is still just about right, but Plant and North Port are right on their heels. From there you will see a lot of teams clumped together where anything could happen. I feel that the back half of top ten is basically wide open. | |||
| Team Name, Region | (Prev.) | Comments: | |
| 1. | Winter Park, 1 | (1) | 19:26 Team Avg, 50s Spread; 1st in R1 |
| Why they are ranked #1- Same reason as last year's #1 ranked team, the Wildcats are undefeated in 4A this year and all anyone had to see was their dominance at the FSU Invite (Pre-State) this year. They're running on a completely different level than everyone else and this is their meet to win. | |||
| How they'd win- Racing to win. Just keep doing like they've done all season. (Same advice from the last two seasons.) | |||
| How they'd lose- Being complacent. If they think a win is a walk in the park, St. Thomas will attempt to run them down. | |||
| 2. | St. Thomas Aquinas, 4 | (2) | 19:43 Team Avg, 1:21 Spread; 1st in R4 (subtract 15s) |
| Why they are ranked #2- The Raiders had a great Region meet and beat Ferguson for the first time this season. Schloss is back in form and Kalis is back in their top five. As long as those two are running well, the second place podium position should be theirs. | |||
| How they'd win- Winter Park error. They'd need a couple of Winter Park girls to faulter. | |||
| How they'd lose- Winter Park being the better team. Same reason for the #2 team as the last two years. | |||
| 3. | John A. Ferguson, 4 | (3) | 20:35 Team Avg, 1:50 Spread; 2nd in R4 (subtract 15s) |
| Why they are ranked #3- The Falcons fell apart at their Region meet, but it would be unrealistic to rank them 6th or 7th based on the body of work they've done all season. They're really a top 5 team and their District team time is the same as the St. Thomas Region team time. So let's just pretend Region didn't happen for them. | |||
| How they'd make the podium- They'd need to race St. Thomas head-to-head, girl for girl, and hope their 5th runner has the better day. | |||
| 4. | Plant, 2 | (9) | 19:54 Team Avg, 1:54 Spread; 1st in R2 |
| Why they are ranked #4- The Panthers have slowly been catching the top 3 all season long and are running better than ever, even excusing the fact that their previous #3 bailed on them a couple of weeks ago. Battling hard with North Port has really helped them stay on top. | |||
| 5. | North Port, 2 | (4) | 20:06 Team Avg, 1:35 Spread; 2nd in R2 |
| Why they are ranked #5- The Bobcats have been progressing throughout the entire season and are bringing their best races now when it matters the most. Their great Region race keeps them in the top five, just a hair behind Plant, but with Lake Mary and Sarasota Riverview in hot pursuit! | |||
| Solid Top Ten Teams: These squads should be able to solidify their place in the state record books by finishing in the top ten, but the order isn't quite set. At the same time, if any of these teams have a break through performance and a couple of teams slip up, any of them might have a shot at cracking the top 4-5. | |||
| 6. | Lake Mary, 1 | (5) | 20:20 Team Avg, 1:35 Spread; 2nd in R1 |
| 7. | Sarasota Riverview, 2 | (10) | 20:22 Team Avg, 34s Spread; 3rd in R2 |
| 8. | Lourdes Academy, 4 | (7) | 20:42 Team Avg, 1:03 Spread; 3rd in R4 w/o #5 (subtract 15s) |
| 9. | Parc Vista, 3 | (14) | 20:08 Team Avg, 1:17 Spread; 1st in R3 (add 15s) |
| Top Ten Hopefuls: A pack or Region 1 and Region 2 schools, many of these teams do have a legitimate shot at top ten, yet with an off day, they might be hanging out closer to 15th. Same as always, that's the curse of being hanging around the middle of the pack, anything could happen and one runner having a good or bad day could make that much of a difference. | |||
| 10. | Winter Springs, 1 | (8) | 20:37 Team Avg, 1:49 Spread; 3rd in R1 |
| 11. | Palm Harbor University, 2 | (15) | 20:37 Team Avg, 2:16 Spread; 4th in R2 |
| 12. | St. Cloud, 2 | (NR) | 20:36 Team Avg, 2:14 Spread; 5th in R2 |
| 13. | Mandarin, 1 | (11) | 20:40 Team Avg, 1:50 Spread; 4th in R1 |
| 14. | George Jenkins, 2 | (NR) | 20:43 Team Avg, 2:10 Spread; 6th in R2 |
| 15. | Olympia, 1 | (6) | 20:53 Team Avg, 1:42 Spread; 6th in R1 |
| 16. | Dr. Phillips, 1 | (NR) | 20:54 Team Avg, 2:18 Spread; 5th in R1 |
| Top 15 Hopefuls: Any of the teams below have a shot at making the top 15 if they pull it all together in Tallahassee. Slight advantage will probably go to the teams with smaller spreads. | |||
| 17. | Coral Reef, 4 | (12) | 21:32 Team Avg, 2:02 Spread; 4th in R4 (subtract 15s) |
| 18. | Palm Beach Central, 3 | (18) | 21:04 Team Avg, 3:27 Spread; 2nd in R3 (add 15s) |
| 19. | Cypress Bay, 4 | (19) | 21:43 Team Avg, 3:09 Spread; 5th in R4 (subtract 15s) |
| Top 20 Hopefuls: Most of these teams are just content with the fact that they made it to the State Championship. Make sure to have fun, enjoy the meet, and welcome to Tallahassee! =) | |||
| 20. | Vero Beach, 3 | (NR) | 21:35 Team Avg, 1:37 Spread; 3rd in R3 (add 15s) |
| 21. | Spanish River, 3 | (NR) | 21:28 Team Avg, 3:36 Spread; 4th in R3 (add 15s) |
| 22. | Douglas, 3 | (23) | 21:45 Team Avg, 1:24 Spread; 5th in R3 (add 15s) |
| 23. | Dwyer, 3 | (21) | 21:40 Team Avg, 3:36 Spread; 6th in R3 (add 15s) |
| 24. | South Dade, 4 | (20) | 22:59 Team Avg, 2:22 Spread, 6th in R4 (subtract 15s) |
|
Individual Rankings: |
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| Commentary: Below are the rankings for all of the top girls in the state based off of Region times, giving a 15 second drop to Region 4 and a 15 second addition to Region 3. There was obviously a ton of shuffling around as most Region meets had some very big surprises. Every girl that was sub 19:50 at their Region is ranked in the top 40, and after that it's a real guessing game. The girls listed at the bottom have been recently ranked this season but won't necessarily finish where they're listed. Now, I typically don't write about specific athletes and what I think they're going to accomplish, but this year I feel I need to. First, I think this is Alexa Cruz's meet to win, she should run away with it right from the gun. Second, I think Kayley DeLay is the real deal, so I expect her to be up there (she reminds me of the many stud freshmen from recent years including Cruz, Headley, and even Blake; all of whom were runner-up as freshmen). Also, some girls just had bad or horrible Region meets, but expect the following athletes to legitimately be back in the top 15 at State: Charlotte Stephens, Emily Nix, Emily Headley, Lourdes Brea, and Katrina Santiago. Good luck this weekend everyone! Run fast!! | |||
| Athlete Name, Grade – Team | (Prev.) | Time, Comments: | |
| 1. | Alexa Cruz, 10 - St. Thomas | (3) | 18:59; 1st in Region 4 (subtract 15s) |
| 2. | Bailey Sullivan, 12 - Plant | (39) | 18:52; 1st in Region 2 |
| 3. | Kayley DeLay, 9 - Fletcher | (26) | 18:54; 1st in Region 1 |
| 4. | Kerstin Sosa, 12 - Hagerty | (14) | 18:58; 2nd in Region 1 |
| 5. | Katherine Kuhn, 10 - Winter Park | (2) | 18:59; 3rd in Region 1 |
| 6. | Kaley Schmick, 11 - Cypress Creek | (5) | 19:06; 4th in Region 1 |
| 7. | Margaret Schloss, 11 - St. Thomas | (19) | 19:23; 2nd in Region 4 (subtract 15s) |
| 8. | Autumn Bartlett, 11 - University | (8) | 19:10; 5th in Region 1 |
| 9. | Maddison Krstec, 9 - North Port | (17) | 19:13; 2nd in Region 2 |
| 10. | Danielle Van Liere, 10 - Fletcher | (7) | 19:14; 6th in Region 1 |
| 11. | Katherine MacNeal, 12 - Cypress Bay | (9) | 19:29; 3rd in Region 4 (subtract 15s) |
| 12. | Briana Burnett, 9 - Timber Creek | (11) | 19:15; 7th in Region 1 |
| 13. | Sarah Raymond, 12 - Palm Harbor Univ. | (22) | 19:16; 3rd in Region 2 |
| 14. | Anna Montgomery, 12 - Plant | (38) | 19:16; 4th in Region 2 |
| 15. | Emily English, 9 - George Jenkins | (48) | 19:17; 5th in Region 2 |
| 16. | Grace Miller, 11 - St. Cloud | (NR) | 19:21; 6th in Region 2 |
| 17. | Emily Nix, 10 - Winter Park | (44) | 19:21; 8th in Region 1 |
| 18. | Fatema Jaffer, 11 - Lake Mary | (21) | 19:21; 9th in Region 1 |
| 19. | Emily Hernandez, 12 - Ferguson | (10) | 19:38; 4th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) |
| 20. | Kayley Doyle, 12 - Parc Vista | (35) | 19:10; 1st in Region 3 (add 15s) |
| 21. | Abigail Grant, 11 - Sickles | (30) | 19:28; 7th in Region 2 |
| 22. | Charlotte Stevens, 12 - Winter Park | (4) | 19:28; 10th in Region 1 |
| 23. | Brenna Johnson, 12 - Hagerty | (43) | 19:29; 11th in Region 1 |
| 24. | Morgan Hull, 12 - Palm Beach Central | (15) | 19:15; 2nd in Region 3 (add 15s) |
| 25. | Jayden Davila Mcclary, 11 - West Orange | (41) | 19:30; 12th in Region 1 |
| 26. | Sinclaire Johnson, 10 - Lake Brantley | (18) | 19:31; 13th in Region 1 |
| 27. | Hana Herdon, 9 - Winter Park | (13) | 19:31; 14th in Region 1 |
| 28. | Olivia Nicholson, 12 - Boca Raton | (NR) | 19:19; 3rd in Region 3 (add 15s) |
| 29. | Amber Pierce, 10 - Jupiter | (33) | 19:19; 4th in Region 3 (add 15s) |
| 30. | Rachel Singer, 12 - Winter Springs | (25) | 19:35; 15th in Region 1 |
| 31. | Brianna Rischar, 11 - St. Thomas | (12) | 19:53; 5th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) |
| 32. | Alexandra Sclafani, 12 - Martin County | (NR) | 19:26; 5th in Region 3 (add 15s) |
| 33. | Sydney Guenther, 11 - North Port | (27) | 19:41; 8th in Region 2 |
| 34. | Meaghan Slack, 9 - Mandarin | (32) | 19:42; 16th in Region 1 |
| 35. | Lauren Gavulic, 11 - Ferguson | (40) | 19:58; 6th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) |
| 36. | Ann Vallace, 11 - Dwyer | (NR) | 19:31; 6th in Region 3 (add 15s) |
| 37. | Karissa Solorzano, 12 - St. Cloud | (NR) | 19:46; 9th in Region 2 |
| 38. | Christina Kalis, 12 - St. Thomas | (NR) | 20:02; 7th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) |
| 39. | Emily Headley, 11 - Olympia | (1) | 19:48; 17th in Region 1 |
| 40. | Daniela Urzua, 9 - Lake Mary | (NR) | 19:49; 18th in Region 1 |
| Other girls to look for that have all been recently ranked this season: | |||
| Morgan Morris, 12 - Winter Park | (20) | 19:50; 19th in Region 1 | |
| Lourdes Brea, 12 - Lourdes | (24) | 20:06; 8th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Abigail Crowder, 10 - Plant | (NR) | 19:57; 10th in Region 2 | |
| Cristina Figueras, 12 - Lourdes | (NR) | 20:16; 9th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Mary Sonksen, 9 - Lyman | (37) | 20:03; 20th in Region 1 | |
| Alexandria Baba, 9 - Freedom Orlando | (49) | 20:04; 21st in Region 1 | |
| Ania Grzeszczak, 10 - Mandarin | (29) | 20:05; 22nd in Region 1 | |
| Eliana Karr, 11 - Winter Springs | (46) | 20:05; 23rd in Region 1 | |
| Marina Braynon-Moore, 12 - St. Thomas | (NR) | 20:21; 10th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Catherine Vinale, 12 - Spanish River | (NR) | 19:52; 7th in Region 3 (add 15s) | |
| Chinami Wade, 12 - Sarasota Riverview | (47) | 20:07; 13th in Region 2 | |
| Rachel Osman, 9 - Coral Reef | (NR) | 20:25; 11th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Valeria Reyes, 10 - Dr. Phillips | (NR) | 20:13; 24th in Region 1 | |
| Sarah Edens, 10 - Buchholz | (31) | 20:13; 25th in Region 1 | |
| Isabella Whelan, 10 - Buchholz | (NR) | 20:16; 26th in Region 1 | |
| Shannon Grace, 10 - Lake Brantley | (34) | 20:19; 27th in Region 1 | |
| Alexandra Rodriguez, 11 - Sanford Seminole | (NR) | 20:19; 28th in Region 1 | |
| Aylwyn Hernandez, 11 - Ferguson | (16) | 20:30; 12th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Madison Fernandez, 11 - Lourdes | (45) | 20:51; 13th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Veronica Barreiro, 9 - Coral Reef | (NR) | 20:57; 15th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Lily Kloepfer, 10 - St. Thomas | (28) | 20:59; 16th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Sarah Carrion, 12 - Lake Mary | (23) | 20:52; 41st in Region 1 | |
| Sabrina Quijano, 9 - Lourdes | (42) | 21:10; 18th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| Avriel McCutcheon, 12 - Lyman | (36) | 20:56; 44th in Region 1 | |
| Katrina Santiago, 12 - Ferguson | (6) | 22:41; 39th in Region 4 (subtract 15s) | |
| State Mock Meet Score: | |||
| 1) Winter Park- 112, 2) St. Thomas- 130 | |||
Boys State Rankings by Classifications:
| 1A Boys Rankings | |||
| By: Mark Caulfield, The Geneva School, markscaul@aol.com | |||
|
Team Rankings: |
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| Commentary: Maintaining the top spot through most of the season, Holy Trinity Academy seems poised to win their 7th Class 1A State Championship and third in a row. With a strong leader in Junior Andrew Cacciatore and an impressive group of talented freshman, HTA is once again the class of 1A. While the number 1 spots looks like a lock for Coach Doug Butler and his Tiger Harriers, it would appear that a nice battle for the runners up podium position could emerge. Maclay School from Tallahassee has been number 2 most of the season and Coach Droze always has his teams ready at Championship time, but the gap for second has tightened in the last month as teams began preparing for the State Series. Indian Rocks Christian, The Geneva School, Shorecrest Prep, and North Florida Christian appear close enough to compete. Most likely it will come down to the placement of the 5th runner on each team and this is where Maclay seem strongest with their team depth. But it could be a battle and a good one to watch. Good luck to all the teams and congratulations to each in qualifying for one of the greatest and most memorable of life experiences, competing in the State Championships! | |||
| Team Name, Region | (Prev.) | Comments: | |
| 1. | Holy Trinity Academy (Region 3) | (1) | 16:46 Team Average in finishing 1st in Region 3 at Holy Trinity course with 1:39 second split for 1-5. Talented. Well Coached. Hard Working. Confident. Focused. Experienced…. Predicted champion for the 7th time in 10 years. Nuff Said! |
| 2. | Maclay School (Region 1) | (2) | 17:40 Team Average in finishing 1st in Region 1 at Alligator Lake course with 0:43 second split for 1-5. Last years the Marauders finished a surprising runners up at State. This year it would be surprising for them not to finish second. Too much depth. |
| 3. | Indian Rocks Christian (Region 3) | (6) | 17:29 Team Average in finishing 2nd in Region 3 at Holy Trinity course with 1:21 second split for 1-5. This team has come on strong at the end of the season and on through District and Region. All five need to run well for a spot on the podium though. |
| 4. | The Geneva School (Region 2) | (3) | 18:02 Team Average in finishing 1st in Region 2 at Santa Fe course with 1:15 second split for 1-5 without their top 2 runners. This young and inexperienced team has the talent for a podium spot but has yet to put it all together as a team. |
| 5. | Shorecrest Prep (Region 3) | (4) | 17:24 Team Average in finishing 3rd in Region 3 at Holy Trinity course with 1:53 second split for 1-5. Matches up similar to Geneva. Strong up front and If they can get a big run from their 5th runner they could be right in there for second. |
| 6. | North Florida Christian (Region 1) | (5) | 17:45 Team Average in finishing 2nd in Region 1 at Alligator Lake course with 2:20 second split for 1-5. Finished 2 and 8 points behind Maclay in District and Region. But with a deep field at State, #5 has to have the race of his life for this team. |
| 7. | St. Petersburg Catholic High School (Region 3) | (13) | 17:43 Team Average in finishing 4th in Region 3 at Holy Trinity course with 2:20 second split for 1-5. Has gone from Not Rated to 13th to 7th in the last 3 polls. Like many, needs a strong run from #5 to move up. |
| 8. | Pensacola Christian Academy (Region 1) | (9) | 18:12 Team Average in finishing 3rd in Region 1 at Alligator Lake course with 1:54 second split for 1-5. Continues to be the most mysterious team in the series. Darkhorse team that needs a consistent 1-5 effort to break into the top 6. |
| 9. | P.K. Younge School (Region 2) | (8) | 18:08 Team Average in finishing 3rd in Region 2 at Santa Fe course with 3:53 second split for 1-5. Can run with anyone 1-3, but drops off after that. Great program and tradition that could still surprise. |
| 10. | Circle Christian School (Region 2) | (7) | 18:18 Team Average in finishing 2nd in Region 2 at Santa Fe course with 1:45 second split for 1-5. These Centurions have come a long way since August and ran great in Region 2. This team is young but is well coached and prepared. |
| 11. | Windermere Prep (Region 2) | (11) | 18:19 Team Average in finishing 5th in Region 2 at Santa Fe course with 3:43 second split for 1-5. Big 1-5 team spreads hurt in the deep State meet field. Need great efforts from 2-5 to break into the top 7. It is possible though with this group! |
| 12. | Westminster Academy (Region 4) | (10) | 18:28 Team Average in finishing 1st in Region 4 at Westminster course with 3:10 second split for 1-5. A traditionally strong winning team and program that generally stays local. Strong 1-2 and needs help at 3-5 to get in the top 10. |
| 13. | Oak Hall School (Region 2) | (12) | 18:31 Team Average in finishing 6th in Region 2 at Santa Fe course with 1:47 second split for 1-5. A roller coaster team that has the potential to break into the top 10 with consistent efforts at 1-2 and improved finishes at 3-5. |
| 14. | Admiral Farragut Academy (Region 3) | (14) | 17:54 Team Average in finishing 5th in Region 3 at Holy Trinity course with 1:26 second split for 1-5. A team that got a shot in the arm with the return of their injured #1 runner last week. If he continues to improve so will AFA into the top 10. |
| 15. | Seffner Christian Academy (Region 3) | (15) | 18:25 Team Average in finishing 6th in Region 3 at Holy Trinity course with 1:55 second split for 1-5. Lost their #1 to foot injury, but everyone else on this young team is improving and looks to make a great showing at State. |
| 16. | Father Lopez Catholic High School (Region 2) | (17) | 18:26 Team Average in finishing 4th in Region 2 at Santa Fe course with 0:36 second split for 1-5. The strongest 1-5 spread in 1A. But in a quality field like the State Meet will need to move everyone up with strong PR's to break into the top 10. |
| 17. | Westminster Christian School (Region 4) | (NR) | 18:58 Team Average in finishing 2nd in Region 4 at Westminster course with 2:43 second split for 1-5. Two separate packs at 1-3 and 4-5 that if they work together and move up could move into the top 15. |
| 18. | Miami Country Day (Region 4) | (18) | 19:13 Team Average in finishing 4th in Region 4 at Westminster course with 1:53 second split for 1-5. Very similar team to Father Lopez. Tight 1-5 gap that needs to move up together. These guys might just do it! |
| 19. | John Carroll High School (Region 4) | (NR) | 19:13 Team Average in finishing 3rd in Region 4 at Westminster course with 1:12 second split for 1-5. Great Region run on a slow course. Could surprise on the fast Apalachee course but will need a great effort at #4-5 to move up significantly. |
| 20. | Aucilla Christian Academy (Region 1) | (20) | 19:13 Team Average in finishing 5th in Region 1 at Alligator Lake course with 3:53 second split for 1-5. Strong at 1-2 but needs help at 3-5 for a stronger State finish. |
| 21. | Doctors Charter School (Region 4) | (NR) | 19:40 Team Average in finishing 6th in Region 4 at Westminster course with 3:49 second split for 1-5. A good #1 who needs to pull his teammates up towards him to improve and break into the top 20. |
| 22. | Wellington Christian School (Region 4) | (NR) | 19:31 Team Average in finishing 5th in Region 4 at Westminster course with 2:32 second split for 1-5. A nice tight team pack that needs to move up as one if they want to be in the top 20. |
| 23. | St. Johns Country Day School (Region 1) | (NR) | 19:22 Team Average in finishing 4th in Region 1 at Alligator Lake course with 0:56 second split for 1-5. Congratulations in qualifying for the greatest race in high school. Shoot for big PR's and see how far you can move up. |
| 24. | Blountstown High School (Region 1) | (NR) | 19:30 Team Average in finishing 6th in Region 1 at Alligator Lake course with 2:56 second split for 1-5. Have fun. Compete Hard. Set PR's. Cherish the memory of the day and the fact you are competing in the Florida State Championships! Lets go Tigers! |
| Additional Individual Qualifers: | |||
| Region 1: Dylan Scott (Baker Senior HS); Region 2: Troy Clark (Mount Dora Bible), Jerod Fuller (Lakeland Christian), Drew DeArmas (First Academy); Region 3: Cal Davidson Turner (Cardinal Mooney), Andrew Lemay (Seacrest Country Day), Jonas Elliott (Evangelical Christian); Region 4: Charles Otto (Boca Raton Christian); Devon Bradford (Jupiter Christian); Ryan Szklany (Highlands Christian); Austin Matese (Benjamin); Matthew Swanson (Summit Christian), Iverson Williams (Dade Christian), Guilherme Pereira (Divine Savior). | |||
|
Individual Rankings: |
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| Commentary Warning: These rankings are subject to dramatically change on November 9. At best, these should be considered a semi-educated ranking. At worst (which is more likely), these are a totally uneducated, but heart felt, guess. There is one thing though that I remain confident in while assessing this years Championship is that these athletes are AWESOME and that this is shaping up to be a historical Class 1A race. There is so much potential movement for a top 10 medal with so many of these athletes who are listed can contend for the podium. And for the eventual State Champion, from what I have watched and reviewed this year, there are at least 6 who can arguably win the whole thing. Each have had a great season in their own right and have shown numerous signs of potential for being the next Class 1A State Champion. Troy Clark from Mount Dora Bible has the fastest time going in from Pre-State and has probably had the best overall season, which rightfully makes him the favorite. He is strong, gutsy, driven, and can win a multitude of ways. But it will be a battle with lots of contendors. Andrew Cacciatore from Holy Trinity is so talented and seems ready to go with wins at the District 12 and Region 3 Meet. He will be aided by teammate Trevor Kattenberg with the two working together in much the same as last years champ, Alex Brown benefited from Tevor's older brother, Tristan enroute to his win (or perhaps vice-versa). Windermere Prep's Franco Martins displays perhaps the fastest closing speed and if it is tight with 100 meters to go he may have an edge. I watched him at last weeks Region 2 meet for the first time and he looked impressive. Joe Janson from P.K Younge has had the most consistent dream season with the third fastest time and six races under 16:20 this year. Kattenberg, as a freshman has the second fastest time from Pre-State, loves the F.S.U course, and could conceivably win it all with the talent he has. Griffith Rutherford from North Florida Christian could be considered a darkhorse and favorite at the same time as he remains the top returner from last season, and has won 6 of 8 races, but has not directly competed head to head with any of the other contenders. After this top tier, the battle rages for the remaining medal spots with Luke Peterson and Ross Porter of Shorecrest Prep, James Daughton from Maclay, Egan Kattenberg from Holy Trinity and Nicholas Gonzalez and Isak Davis from The Geneva School. Porter and Peterson have been running well late in the season while Daughton, Gonzalez, and Davis have faster times but more sporadic performances coming in. For me, the best part of the State Meet is that someone on this list is going to "come from nowhere" and have the race of their life. Who is it going to be? I can't wait to find out! Best of luck to each of you participating in the best event in High School! Enjoy the Championship. Treasure the moment. You will never forget it! | |||
| Athlete Name, Grade – Team | (Prev.) | Time, Comments: | |
| 1. | Troy Clark, Senior - Mount Dora Bible | (1) | Ran 16:07 finishing in 1st place in Region 2. 15:40 PR at Pre-State. Can run any tactical race and has been consistently strong all season long. Unquestionably, the one to beat. |
| 2. | Andrew Cacciatore, Junior - Holy Trinity | (4) | Ran 16:07 finishing in 1st place in Region 3. 15:57 PR at Pre-State. Was the early season number 1 ranked runner who worked through some mid-season injury issues and is now back and ready to battle for the top spot. |
| 3. | Franco Martins, Junior - Windermere Prep | (8) | Ran 16:16 finishing in 2nd place in Region 2. 15:57 PR at the West Orange Inv. and has a number sub 16:10 efforts. This kid is the real deal this season and can effectively race from a fast start or a sprint finish. |
| 4. | Griffith Rutherford, Senior - North Florida Christian | (6) | Ran 16:37 finishing in 1st place in Region 1. 16:10 PR at Pre-State. The Pre-season number 1 ranked runner who has won 6 of 8 races this year and historically runs his best at the State Meet. |
| 5. | Joseph Janson, Senior - P.K. Younge | (3) | Ran 16:19 finishing in 3rd place in Region 2. 15:52 PR at Pre-State. Has had a remarkable season with hopes there is still one more great race in the tank to culminate his Senior year. |
| 6. | Trevor Kattenberg, Freshman - Holy Trinity | (2) | Ran 16:19 finishing in 2nd place in Region 3. 15:48 PR at Pre-State. The Freshman has incredible talent and enough State Meet experience to be a serious contendor for the Championship. |
| 7. | Luke Peterson, Sophomore - Shorecrest Prep | (10) | Ran 16:24 finishing in 3rd place in Region 2. 16:23 PR at St. Petersburg Championship. |
| 8. | Ross Porter, Senior - Shorecrest Prep | (13) | Ran 16:30 finishing in 4th place in Region 2. 16:20 PR at the District 9 Meet. |
| 9. | James Daughton, Senior - Maclay School | (7) | Ran 17:15 finishing in 3rd place in Region 1. 16:11 PR at Pre-State. Daughton has struggled a bit since Pre-State but has the talent, experience, and Senior year drive to medal this year. |
| 10. | Egan Kattenberg, Freshman - Holy Trinity | (11) | Ran 16:31 finishing in 5th place in Region 1. 16:30 PR at Pre-State. Two freshman brothers in the top 10 would make a great storyline. It could easily happen with the talent within. |
| 11. | Nicholas Gonzalez, Junior - The Geneva School | (5) | Ran 16:01 PR at FLrunners Invitational. DNF at Region 2 with medical issues but if he is healthy enough to go, the talent and strength he has could be enough to improve upon his 13th place finish last year. |
| 12. | Isak Davis, Junior - The Geneva School | (9) | Ran 16:12 PR at FLrunners Invitational. DNF at Region 2 but is ready to go and has the talent to challenge for a medal. |
| 13. | Cal Davidson Turner, Junior - Cardinal Mooney High School. | (12) | Ran 16:38 finishing in 6th place in Region 1. 16:15 PR at District 10 Meet. Has been running well late in the season and has the talent to make a jump into the top 10. |
| 14. | Charles Otto, Senior - Boca Raton Christian | (25) | Ran 16:57 finishing in 1st place in Region 4 on the slower Westminster course. 16:42 early season PR. District and Region champ shows the ability to compete well going into the State Meet. |
| 15. | Trevor Quandt, Senior - Indian Rock Christian | (16) | Ran 16:51 finishing in 7th place in Region 1. Huge 16:07 PR at District 10 Meet. Obviously talented enough to battle for 10 ten placement. |
| 16. | Pat Artise, Senior - St. Petersburg Catholic | (NR) | Ran 16:54 PR finishing in 8th place in Region 2. Personal Records at the Region Meet are good signs of peaking at the right time. |
| 17. | Michael Wilson, Freshman - Holy Trinity | (15) | Ran 17:04 finishing in 9th place in Region 2. 16:49 PR at Pre-State. Racing for a team title should propel a big finish for the talented freshman. |
| 18. | Andrew Lemay, Senior - Seacrest Country Day School | (23) | Ran 17:05 finishing in 10th place in Region 2. 16:49 PR at Jags Invitational. Has shown signs of potential over the year and could surprise. |
| 19. | Dylan Scott, Senior - Baker Senior HS | (NR) | Ran 17:07 PR finishing in 2nd place in Region 1. Like last years track season, has come out of nowhere late in the season. |
| 20. | Casey McCracken, Junior - Westminster Academy | (NR) | Ran 17:10 PR finishing in 2nd place on slower Region 4 course. District 15 Champ who looks to be gearing up for an excellent State Meet run. |
| 21. | Jack Rutledge, Senior - Maclay School | (14) | Ran 17:29 finishing in 7th place in Region 1. 16:49 SB at Panhandle Championship. Had a great State Meet run last season and team will need him to step up again this year. |
| 22. | Brandon Berjarno, Senior - Westminster Academy | (22) | Ran 17:18 finishing in 3rd place on slower Region 4 course. 17:04 PR at Spanish River Invitational. |
| 23. | Devon Bradford, Junior - Jupiter Christian | (19) | Ran 17:26 finishing in 4th place on slower Region 4 course. 16:59 PR at Flrunners Invitational. |
| 24. | Kola Katynski, Sophomore - The Geneva School | (21) | Ran 17:21 finishing in 4th place in Region 2. 17:06 PR at Great American. |
| 25. | Austin Perry, Junior - Oak Hall School | (17) | Ran 17:27 finishing in 5th place in Region 2. 16:45 PR at Mountain Dew. |
| 25. | Alex Strickland, Senior - North Florida Christian | (NR) | Ran 17:20 finishing in 5th place in Region 1. 17:02 PR at Alligator Lake. |
| Others to Watch For: | |||
| Braden Mattingly (Aucilla Christian - 3rd at Region 1); Joshua Ballentine (Pensacola Christian - 6th at Region 1); Micah Kemp (Jay HS - District 1 Champ at 16:44); Cory Chambers (Seffner Christian - 17:06 at Region 3); Joseph Ault (Circle Christian - 17:05 PR); Patrick McNamara (Admiral Farragutt - early season 16:25 and injury / ran 17:26 at Region 3). | |||
| 2A Boys Rankings | ||
| By: Doug Nowlin, Pine Crest School, doug.nowlin@pinecrest.edu | ||
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Team Rankings: |
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| Commentary: This is what it comes down to: We have one very strong team in 2a, and a handful of very fast other teams desperately trying to close the gap. The first lap at ARP will be torrid, the second lap will likely be strategic, and the last 400m downhill to the finish will determine which runners have that little bit of extra energy which might mean the difference of several places for their team in the standings. Watch for those crucial #6 and #7 runners to "push" the scores also. Simply the best time of the year to be a cross-country fan. | ||
| Team Name | Comments: | |
| THE FAVORITE | ||
| Trinity Prep | 2a-2 Regional Champions. Moved up from 1a and even though they lost top runner Daniel Salas, Trinity Prep has dominated the 2a competition the entire season. Easy to spot, just look for the group of 7 boys in Yellow and Blue jerseys running within an arm's reach of each other. Trinity Prep epitomizes the concept of cross-country teamwork. This will be a tough team to beat! | |
| THE CONTENDERS (In Alphabetical Order) | If anyone can catch Trinity Prep, it may be one of these 5 teams. If Trinity Prep indeed takes first, then the battle for 2nd place, and a coveted spot on the podium, will be especially close. | |
| Bishop Kenny | The Defending 2a State Champions. And this year's 2a-1 Regional Champions. The last time the Bishop Kenny boys raced at ARP was at the FSU Pre-State Invitational and they were very successful. In the Boys Select race the team placed first with a team average of 16:48 with a 1-5 split of only 23 seconds! | |
| Immokalee | The Defending 2a State Runner-up. A very close third place at this year's 2a-3 Regional Championship. This Immokalee team has seen much improvement this season. They have a strong 1-2 punch and the pack is working on closing the 1-5 split. | |
| McKeel Academy | 2a-3 Regional Champions. McKeel has steadily lowered their team average with the progression of the season. This team was 7th at the 1a State Championship last year and now they are vying for the 2a crown. Very solid team! | |
| Tampa Jesuit | 2a-3 Regional Runner-up. This Tampa Jesuit team is on a roll. They essentially pulled even with McKeel and Immokalee at the 2a-3 Regional Championship. A well-coached team that is peaking for the most important race of the year. | |
| Titusville | 2a-4 Regional Champions. Strong team performances the entire year. Look for the Titusville boys to make this a very close race. | |
| BIGGEST POTENTIAL SURPRISE | ||
| Pine Crest | 2a-4 Regional Runner-up. At Pine Crest, we train for late season success. This past weekend our MS girls won the MS State Championship in Lakeland (Congratulations Girls!). On Saturday in Tallahassee, their HS teammates, both boys and girls, are hoping to do the same. | |
| THE CHALLENGERS (In Alphabetical Order) | These teams are the most likely to vye for a top 10 finish. They have all raced well this season and placing high will be a great achievement, plus ensure a bright future for next cross-country season. | |
| Lake Highland Prep | 2a-2 Regional Runner-up. | |
| Pensacola Catholic | Third at 2a-1 Regional Championship. | |
| Ransom Everglades | Fourth at 2a-4 Regional Championship. | |
| Rockledge | Third at 2a-4 Regional Championship. | |
| West Florida Tech | 2a-1 Regional Runner-up. | |
| OTHER QUALIFIED TEAMS (In Alphabetical Order) | There are 125 teams in Florida 2a competition. Only the top 6 teams in each Region, 24 teams total, are able to participate at the State Championship. Congratulations to all of these teams who qualified for Saturday morning's race. | |
| Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop Moore | ||
| Bishop Snyder | ||
| Bolles | ||
| Calvary Christian (Ft. Laud.) | ||
| Gulf | ||
| LaBelle | ||
| Lemon Bay | ||
| Key West | ||
| Nature Coast Tech | ||
| The Villages | ||
| Wakulla | ||
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Individual Rankings: |
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| Commentary: No big surprises at the Regional Races. The top runners raced as well as expected, but you know they have one more left in the tank -- and the State Championship is the pinnacle for most. I expect to see a fast first mile at ARP (mostly downhill) with 2 large packs separated by 5-10 seconds. Shortly afterward, the strategies will kick in. I'm betting Mr. Delacruz will make the first move on the hill and everyone else will need to dig down and try to catch him in the second half of the race. Should be very exciting and I wish all 2a boys the very best in their final cross-country endeavor of the year. About 1200 meters from the start, the runners make a loop through the forest. It's one of the few places on the course where it is very quiet, and there are seldom any spectators. There's one coach who stands out there, alone, and cheers on the runners in each of the 8 races. That's me. Have a great race, everyone! | ||
| Athlete Name, Grade – Team | Time, Comments: | |
| THE FAVORITE | ||
| Leonel Delacruz, 12th, Immokalee | SB = 15:30 (FSU Pre-State); Region 2a-3 Champion; 5th at last year's 2a State Championship, and 2a State Runner-up in both the 1600 (4:21) and 3200 (9:36) this past spring. Leonel is a full 30 seconds faster than his next fastest 2a contender this cross-country season. Expect Leonel to lead his Immokalee teammates as they pursue a State Team Title. | |
| THE CONTENDERS (In Alphabetical Order) | ||
| Gabriel Correa, 10th, Ransom Everglades | SB = 16:00 (FSU Pre-State); Region 2a-4 Runner-up; 10th at last year's 2a State Championship. Gabriel was a member of the 2011 Ransom team which won the State 2a Title. | |
| Austin Decker, 12th, Bolles | SB = 16:00 (FSU Pre-State); Region 2a-1 Champion; 4th at last year's 2a State Championship. Austin put in lots of miles over the summer to build his base for this cross-country season. The wider the base, the taller the pyramid. Expect Austin to stay near the front on Saturday. | |
| Joel Lacy, 10th, Calvary Christian (Ft. Laud.) | SB = 16:05 (Gibbons Invite); Region 2a-4 Champion; Joel is well-prepared to run his best race of the cross-country season on Saturday morning. If there is a pack of leaders, expect Joel to be there. | |
| Canaan Meester-Kitterman, 12th, Bayshore | SB = 16:01 (2a District 10); Region 2a-3 Runner-up; Individual Qualifier; Lots of valuable racing experience at USATF National meets this summer. | |
| Xavier Walton, 12th, Titusville | SB = 16:00 (FlRunners); 3rd Place at Region 2a-4; Xavier won 5 races this cross-country season! On Saturday, expect him to try to win one more. | |
| BIGGEST POTENTIAL SURPRISE | ||
| David Yarborough, 12th, Bishop Kenny | SB = 16:37 (FSU Pre-State); 3rd Place at Region 2a-1; David ran 15:59 at last year's State Championship for the Individual Runner-up Title. He is the defending 2a State 1600m Champion (4:20). Coach Curran will have David, and his teammates, ready for their best seasonal performances on Saturday morning. | |
| THE CHALLENGERS (In Alphabetical Order) | ||
| Drew Denson, 12th, Astronaut | SB = 16:14 (2a District 13); 4th Place at Region 2a-4; Individual Qualifier; Drew has run 16:14 twice this season but he hasn't appeared in the rankings until now. I observed him race at the very competitive 2a-4 Regionals on Thursday and that was all I needed to see. Drew is a genuine competitor! Look for this senior to have the best race of his high school career on Saturday. | |
| Nic Jacobsen, 10th, Saint Andrews | SB = 16:09 (Martin County); Individual Qualifier; Nic is a sophomore with plenty of experience racing at the State level. He has had his ups and downs this season, but I fully expect him to have his best race on Saturday morning. | |
| Jonathan (Jack) Klumpp, 12th, North Broward Prep | SB = 16:07 (FSU Pre-State); Individual Qualifier; Jack has PRs of 4:23 in the 1600m, and 9:31 in the 3200m. Solid numbers support a stellar cross-country senior who may prefer an all-out attempt at victory, rather than a conservative race for an almost-certain medal. Those who have seen Jack race know exactly what I mean. He wants to win! | |
| Urias Velasquez, 11th, Immokalee | SB = 16:01 (FSU Pre-State); 22nd at last year's 2a State Championship. Urias is a key member of the Immokalee team and I anticipate he will do all he can to join Leonel near the front, while inspiring his other teammates to also run their best. | |
| **Any Varsity Runner from Trinity Prep! | SB = 16:14 (Average of Top 5 Runners); Trinity Prep has had 4 different #1 runners this season. As I have written in prior polls, this team exhibits unselfishness. I hope everyone agrees that singling out a Trinity Prep runner as a specific favorite might run counter to the team's emphasis on teamwork. Nonetheless, any member of their varsity team should certainly be considered a top challenger in 2a competition. | |
| OTHER INDIVIDUAL QUALIFIERS (In Alphabetical Order) | ||
| Jared Arnold, 12th, Bishop Verot | ||
| Conner Bergin, 12th, Montverde | ||
| Austin Camps, 9th, West Shore | ||
| Hunter Chavis, 9th, Mount Dora | ||
| Sean Fournier, 11th, Dreyfoos | ||
| Antonio Gomez, 8th, Frostproof | ||
| Alyx Gonzalez, 12th, Gateway Charter | ||
| Brandon Harris, 12th, Crystal River | ||
| Dalton Hodge, 10th, Pedro Menendez | ||
| Donovon Mundy, 12th, Andrew Jackson | ||
| Caleb Pottorff, 9th, Lincoln Park | ||
| Isaac Rigel, 12th, Lake Wales | ||
| Dalton Shelton, 12th, Lake Placid | ||
| Ryder Valiquette, 8th, Montverde | ||
| 3A Boys Rankings | |||
| By: Ryan Lowe, Lake Nona HS, ryan.lowe@ocps.net | |||
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Team Rankings: |
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| Commentary: This will be the race of the day and everyone will be there to see it as it will go off at 10:00am. Every way I score it out has Chiles beating Belen and Fort Walton Beach by just a couple of points but this race will be so close that if any runner from either of those three teams does not perform, or over-performs, then the places will change. It looks like Chiles will have their top 5 in before the others but Fort Walton Beach will own the coveted tie-breaker if they run as expected. However, all of the data in the world cannot replace the fact that the boys from Belen seem to own the State Championship Race but this could be the year that it goes to someone else. The competition is so strong that any of the top 10 teams could be competing for a trophy in any of the other classifications so a top 10 finish in this race will be something to build on for next year. | |||
| Team Name, Region | (Prev.) | Comments: | |
| 1. | Chiles, R1 | (1) | Two things going in their favor: 1) they have already defeated Belen on this course, 2) they get to sleep in their own beds |
| 2. | Belen, R4 | (2) | One thing going in their favor: they know how to win so the big stage will not affect them. |
| 3. | Fort Walton Beach, R1 | (3) | they have been running strong and together all season, they will need to make up a few points per person to get on the stand. |
| 4. | Leon, R1 | (4) | #1 runner is solid, if #3-5 can find some magic (15 seconds per person) then they can get on the stand. |
| 5. | Niceville, R1 | (8) | #1-2 have been here before and know what to do, if #3-5 can find that special run then they can be on the stand. |
| 6. | Land O'Lakes, R2 | (6) | #1-3 have been running together all season but #5 will need to run better to get into the top 5 |
| 7. | Sarasota, R3 | (5) | If #4-5 drop their time, then they can crack the top 5. |
| 8. | Estero, R3 | (7) | Great run at the region, peaking at the right time. |
| 9. | St. Augustine, R1 | (12) | Moves up into the top 10 after their region run, is a top 10 finish at state in their future? |
| 10. | Ft. Myers, R3 | (11) | Top runners will be right in the mix but will the rest of the team help them to a top 10 finish? |
| 11. | Naples, R3 | (10) | |
| 12. | Pembroke Pines Charter, R4 | (9) | |
| 13. | Stanton Prep, R1 | (13) | |
| 14. | Venice, R3 | (NR) | |
| 15. | Lake Nona, R2 | (19) | |
| 16. | Lakewood Ranch, R3 | (NR) | |
| 17. | Sebring, R2 | (NR) | |
| 18. | Gainesville, R2 | (22) | |
| 19. | Melbourne, R4 | (NR) | |
| 20. | Matanzas, R2 | (15) | |
| 21. | Lecanto, R2 | (21) | |
| 22. | Archbishop McCarthy, R4 | (18) | |
| 23. | Merritt Island, R4 | (23) | |
| 24. | Suncoast, R4 | (24) | |
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Individual Rankings: |
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| Commentary: Here we are, how many runners will go below 15 this week? Unfortunately, there are only 10 medals to go around so it will take a time of 15:30 or below to get up on that medal stand and we have numerous runners in 3A that can get there. The fun thing for spectators is that the individual battles will also translate into the team title so when the coaches are yelling to pass someone, it will be for more than the individual glory. Another interesting side note is that we have 2 individual defending state champions from Florida running in this race so it will be neat to see how they go after another title. | |||
| Athlete Name, Grade – Team | (Prev.) | Time, Comments: | |
| 1. | Sukhi Khosla, 11 - Leon | (1) | will he repeat his Pre-State performance? |
| 2. | Tyler Bennett, 12 - Ft. Myers | (2) | he will get out front, can he push the pace early enough to win? |
| 3. | Nicholas Morken, 12 - Niceville | (3) | his teammate is back so they should push each other to the front. |
| 4. | Thomas Howell, 12 - Niceville | (9) | 3A champ last year; is he ready to repeat? |
| 5. | Alex Pedraza, 12 - Golden Gate | (5) | 2A champ last year; can he do it again? |
| 6. | Zackery Summerall, 11 - Sarasota | (4) | |
| 7. | Adam Bradtmueller, 10 - Sarasota | (6) | |
| 8. | Mark Robertson, 12 - BTW | (7) | |
| 9. | Ryan Rodriguez, 11 - Belen | (8) | |
| 10. | Thomas Howell, 12 - Niceville | (9) | |
| 11. | Eric Tallbacka, 12 - Stanton Prep | (10) | |
| 12. | Cade Zimmerman, 12 - Chiles | (11) | |
| 13. | Dean McGregor, 11 - Ft. Myers | (12) | |
| 14. | Travis Nichols, 12 - Land O Lakes | (13) | |
| 15. | Fabian Thomas, 12 - Belen | (14) | |
| 16. | Steven Cross, 10 - Merritt Island | (15) | |
| 4A Boys Rankings | |||
| By: Jorge Fleitas, Dr. Phillips HS, jfleitas28@gmail.com | |||
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Team Rankings: |
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| Commentary: A couple of injuries have taken down St. Thomas! This is what I have heard! If the STA boys are not hurt nobody will touch STA…. Because of this rumors!!! I believe 4A is up for Grabs!!! I believe it will take breaking 110pts to win.. | |||
| Team Name, Region | (Prev.) | Comments: | |
| 1. | Timber Creek | (2 in Region 1) | Going into this weekend I see the Wolves as a clear favorite because of the strength upfront. They may place 3 runners in Top 13… #4-#5 I have them placing 46 & 55 giving TC = 128 for the victory!!! |
| 2. | Coral Reef | (#3 in Region 4) | Coral Reef can Pull Off a State Chamionship but it all depends on Mateo! If Mateo DNF like last week the reef will fall to 4th place… I have the reef scoring 108 with Mateo and 165 without. |
| 3. | Colonial | (#1 in Region 1) | The Grenaiders are sitting in the drivers seat they have the best #5 pack in 4A. Problem for the Grenaiders is they don’t have a #1 runner finishing in the top 10. They will just need to hope that Timber Creek & Coral Reefs #4 & #5 has a bad day… I have them scoring 158 |
| 4. | Sunset | (#2 in Region 4) | At this point I don’t know what to think! The Knights #3 does this every year at Regionals this is third year in a row that Regionals he runs bad. I'm beginning to think he plans it! If The Knights #3 has a big day they score 151. |
| 5. | Mandarin | (#3 in Region 1) | We get it, the Mustangs #1 & #2 are awesome. There 3-5 must break 16:30 to have a shot at the title. I have the Mustangs scoring 175 |
| 6. | St. Thomas | (#1 in Region 4) | They can't run like that again! Larry and Penny the course that can mentally destroy a team!!! 2,3,5 didn’t run? Why? Supposedly 2 & 5 are injured and #3 was reinstated after the DQ on Friday. If they all run on Saturday ST. Thomas wins and it destroys my rankings!!!!! If 3,4,5 run they score 74pts... if they dont run 177 |
| 7. | Sarasota Riverview | (#1 in Region 2) | Talk about a #1-3 Pack just less than 6 sec was the spread… If Sarasota can run like they did at Pre-State they may be a dark horse! 1-3 put together a race like Pre-State they score 177… they run like last week 207 pts… |
| 8. | Lyman | (#5 in Region 1) | The Greyhounds will finish 8th this year with a score of 235… |
| 9. | Lake Mary | (NR) | Lake Mary has not been to the show in over 15 years…. This may be an exageration but its been a long time! A big Congrats to LM! I have them scoring 251… |
| 10. | Winter Park | (#6 in Region 1) | The Park Pack with 21 sec spread 1-5 is outside looking in at this point for the title…A respectable top 10 will be the end to Coach Kozub time at The Park. I have them scoring 269 |
| 11. | Park Vista | (#1 in Region 3) | Park Vista might have the recipe for rejuvenating and peaking at the end of the year. It seems they should have a shot at finishing in the top 10 in the 2013 XC Season. I have them scoring 273. |
| 12. | Columbus | (#4 in Region 4) | The Hellions may fall short of a top 10 finish in 2013. I have them scoring 275. |
| 13. | Martin County | (#6 in Region 3) | I have Martin County scoring 287. |
| 14. | Ferguson | (#5 in Region 4) | I have the Falcons scoring 298. |
| 15. | Newsome | (#6 in Region 2) | I have Newsome scoring 345. |
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Individual Rankings: |
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| Athlete Name – Team | |||
| 1. | Nick Diaz - Sunset | ||
| 2. | Kurt Convey - Coral Reef | ||
| 3. | Brandon Marquez _ Timber Creek | ||
| 4. | Carlin Berryhill- Coral Reef | ||
| 5. | Manuel Velazquez _ St. Thomas | ||
| 6. | Connor Ferrentino- Freedom | ||
| 7. | Keneth Pineiro- Deland | ||
| 8. | James Zentmeyer- Sickles | ||
| 9. | Anthony Deleva- Coral Glades | ||
| 10. | Ronny Greenup- Sunset | ||
| 11. | Sam Mack- Mandarin | ||
| 12. | Ryan Degale - Lake Mary | ||
| 13. | Ramos, Carlos- Timber Creek | ||
| 14. | John Weaver- Mandarin | ||
| 15. | Andrew Llewellyn- Countryside | ||
| 16. | Jack Guyton- HB Plant | ||
| 17. | Blake Riley- Sarasota Riverview HS | ||
| 18. | Warran Grajalez- Sarasota Riverview HS | ||
| 19. | Jared Levine - Lake Brantley | ||
| 20. | Michael Nazareth- Timber Creek | ||
| 21. | Joshua Jacques- Lyman | ||
| 22. | Bryce Vokus- Sarasota Riverview HS | ||
| 23. | Markell Peck - Flagler Palm Coast | ||
| 24. | Adam Lawrence- Dr. Phillips | ||
| 25. | Carlos Lopez- Coral Reef | ||
*Please remember that all of these rankings are done by volunteers and are meant to increase the overall enjoyment of the sport for athletes, coaches, parents, and fans. They are just for fun and should not have a lot of weight put on them. But if you have issues (such as a missed athlete or team), please email the individual pollster for your classification / gender, or direct major concerns to Flrunners Administrator / FACA Rankings Representative: Coach Ryan Raposo- ryanraposo@gmail.com