FACA Pollster's XC Pre-State Rankings! *Updated*

1A Girls Rankings:
By: Paul White, Lakelandtrack@aol.com
 
Team Rankings:
  Team Name, Region -  (Prev.)  Comments:
1. Holy Trinity Academy, 2 -  1 18:38 ave.
2. Providence, 1 2 19:48 ave.
3. Oak Hall 3  
4. Community Sch, 3 4  
5. Geneva, 2 5  
6. Westminister Academy, 4 13  
7. Maclay, 1                            8  
8. First Academy, 2 6  
9. Aucilla Christian, 1 7  
10. Florida Christian nr  
11. St Johns Country Day 9  
12. Keswick, 3 10  
13. Northside Christian, 3 11  
14. Trinity Prep 2 15  
15. Jay 4 12  
       
Individual Rankings: 
  Athlete Name, Grade – Team (Prev.)  
1. Kathryn Fluehr, 12 - Comm. Sch. of Naples 1  
2. Erika Fluehr, 12- CSN 2  
3. Julie Wollrath, 8- HTA 3  
4. Teresa Ristow, 12- HTA 4  
5. Stefanie Kurgatt 10- Maclay 5  
6. Brittney Olinger, 9- Oak Hall 6  
7. Emily Edwards, 9- Canterbury 7  
8. Katelyn Greenleaf, 11- Northside Christian 8  
9. Christina McKinney 9- Mt Dora Bible 9  
10. Mackenzie Wilson 7- Geneva 10  
11. Kristen Sweeney 10- Maclay 11  
12. McKenzie Drummer 10- HTA 12  
13. Sabrina Whiting 9- Seffner Christian 13  
14. Kelly Fahey 10- Trinity Prep 14  
15. Danielle Van Liere 7- Providence 15  
16. Sarah Candiano 8- Evangelical Christian 16  
17. mollie Jones 12- Geneva 17  
18. Cali Gumpel 8- Wellington Christian 18  
19. Brianna Wahy 10- HTA 19  
20 Kaili Corcoran 12- HTA 24  
21. Lori Frazier 12- HTA 20  
22. Emily VanGelder 11- Oak Hall 21  
23. Claire Snyder 9- Tampa Prep 22  
24. Camille Jackson 10- Providence 23  
25. Emily Crist 9- First Academy 25  

 

 

 

2A Girls Rankings:
By: Gerry Spring, Lake Highland Prep - gspring@lhps.org
 
Commentary: Congratulations to all state qualifiers! If has been fun getting to know some of the teams a liitle bit better and if we do this again next year I  hope to have a better understanding of all the regions and even get to go to a couple of meets outside the Central Florida area. Here are my predictions- use them for the bottom of the hamster cage or post them for motivation! Good luck to all.
 
Team Rankings: State Previews
1 Estero    
2 Bolles    
3 Cocoa Beach    
4 Titusville    
5 Bishop Kenny    
6 AHN    
7 West Fl tech    
8 Carrolton    
9 Lake Highland    
10 Bishop Moore    
11 Episcopal    
12 Rockeledge    
13 Matanzas    
14 Cardinal Gibbons    
15 Pine Crest    
16 PJP    
17 Immokalee    
18 Ransom Ev    
19 Nease    
20 George Steinbrenner    
           
Individual Rankings: State Previews
1 Shelby Davidson CB    
2 Kacy Smith - E    
3 Stephanie Schappert PJP    
4 Nicole Carpio    RE    
5 Rebecca Chandler - B    
6 Laurel Brennan  NBP    
7 Colleen Doherty - AHN    
8 Mary Ann Brown OL    
 9 Maria Frank - E    
10 Savannah Bradley - CB    
11 Teresa Huff - T    
12 Katy Solis - E    
13 Danielle Lusk  - R    
14 Holly Page BM    
15 Bethany Jenkins  - E    
16 Aja Curth - E    
17 Ashley Heitling  - MDB    
18 Katie Slater  E    
19 Aubrey Schonoff - LHP    
20 Christine Marcano- M    
21 Macy Huskey - CG        

 

 

3A Girls Rankings:
By: Andy Holmes, Seffner Christian Academy - aholmes@scacrusaders.com
 
What to Watch For: Team Competition: a tight race for #1: only 4 points separated them at Pre-State, don't expect anything different at state between Lakewood Ranch and Chiles. There could be as many as 4 teams vying for the #3 spot. Quite a bit of parity among teams I have ranked 8-24, so many teams have a good shot of moving up.
What to Watch For: Individual Competition: blazing fast times: cool weather, good competition, and a fast course- all the makings of huge PR's by individuals. Any of the runners I have ranked 1-4 could win individually could win it. Could be Lily Williams, going wire-to-wire as #1. Could be a hard-charging Darroneshia Lott, who has been very close with Williams in most head-to-head battles. Could be Grace Van De Grift- has not raced much, but the dark horse to win it. Could be last year's champ Carly Thomas. Could be as many as 10 runners going sub-18
 
Team Rankings:
  Team Name, Region -  (Prev.)  Comments:
1. Chiles (2) 18:48; My upset special, of what should be a classic battle with hard charging LWR
2. Lakewood Ranch (1) 20:27; Still the slight favorite to win 3A; will need to keep that tight pack that they have most of the year
3. Fort Walton Beach, 1 (3) 19:23; Will have their hands full with Niceville and Fort Myers for the #3 spot
4. Niceville  (5) 19:31; They may be ready to take that next step by finally beating FWB when both teams are at full strength
5. Fort Myers (6) 20:37; ran a great race at 3A-3 and was closer than expected with LWR
6. Creekside (4) 19:36; still capable of vaulting into the #4 or #5 spot
7. Wiregrass Ranch (7) 20:22; not challenged at district or region, will need good performance from Shah and Grey in order to move up
8. Oviedo (8) 20:51; won 3A-4 in somewhat close match with St. Cloud, will open some eyes on Saturday
9. St. Cloud (16) 21:05; another huge jump in the rankings; close with Oviedo on slow course
10. Gulf Coast (9) 21:38; finished a solid 3rd at 3A-3, and has been another team flying under the radar
11. Pine Forest (NR) 20:19; team cam up with a great performance to ge to state. How close can #3-5 runners be behind Wachob?
12. Harmony (12) 21:12; returns the favor on South Fork at Region 4
13. South Fork (11) 21:29; Could be a top 10 team along with Harmony
14. King (19) 21:05; Finally beats nemesis Lake Region for 3A-2 runner-up; could move way up if #4 and #5 runners from region improve as expected on Saturday
15. Vanguard (15) 20:33; grabbed final spot at 3A-1 with frontrunner Blaes at the helm
16. Merritt Island (14) 21:32; not too far behind Harmony, and could move up a few spots
17. Lake Region (18) 21:06; must close the gap between #3 and #4 runners to move higher
18. Naples (15) 21:56; took a solid 4th at 3A-3 on tough course
19 Dwyer (NR) 21:59; took final spot in 3A-4, best 3A team in Fort Lauderdale/Miami area
20. Gulf   (22) 21:20; no real frontrunners, but a tight pack gives them a god chance to move up
21. Springstead (23) 21:28; can't reiterate enough- feel good story- only 5 runners ran at regionals, but going to state- accomplishment in itself
22. Lemon Bay (NR) 22:15; not picked to make it out of region, but made it placing 5th in region 3
23. Osceola (NR) 22:19; pulled out a great race in region 3, placing ahead of Charlotte and Baker
24. George Jenkins (NR) 21:37; made state on the basis of their #6 runner, and just a nose behind Springstead
 
Individual Rankings: 
  Athlete Name, Grade – Team (Prev.)  Time, Comments:
1. Lily Williams, 11 Chiles (1) 18:06; 3A-1 individual champion, favorite for state crown, but will have several runners breathing down her neck 
2. Darroneshia Lott, 12 Pine Forest (2) 18:12; Runner-up to Williams in 3A-1, but any slip in the race, and the title could be hers
3. Grace Van DeGrift, 12 Durant (4) 18:05; 3A-2 individual champion; do not be surprised if whe wins it, should be right there
4. Carly Thomas, 11 Chiles (3) 18:13; just a shade behind Lott at 3A-1; last year's individual champion still has a shot to win it
5. Sarah Spann, 12 Fort Myers (8) 19:17; virtually untouched the whole way in winning 3A-3 title
6. Crystal Wachob, 12 Pine Forest (17) 18:35; 4th at 3A-1, was also a PR, expect her to go even lower
7. Anne-Marie Blaney, 11 Belleview (7) 18:34; runner-up at 3A-2; will be running for individual honors only; team just missed state based on the #6 runner
8. Marsel Mosley, 10 Niceville (28) 18:41; 5th at 3A-1, peaking very well at this time
9. Jodie McGuff, 12 Chiles (24) 18:43; 6th at 3A-1; will need to narrow the gap as much as possible between her and Thomas
10. Kelli Williams, 12 Mitchell (10) 18:42; Pasco County's best runner was 3rd at 3A-2
11. Olivia Ortiz, 10 Lakewood Ranch (5) 19:35; will probably be higher than this at state, was runner-up on grueling course at 3A-3
12. Kristin Zarrella, 10 Lakewood Ranch (6) 20:50; bit of an off race at regional meet, but will be good to go at state
13. Sarah Devaux, 12 Fort Walton Beach (21) 18:47; top finisher for FWB in 7th at 3A-1
14. Ivy Chastain, 10 Fort Walton Beach (12) 18:54; right behind Devaux at 3A-1 in 8th
15. Lauren Rodriguez, 12 Creekside (9) 18:56; top 10 at 3A-1, and team's top finisher
16. Alexis Irwin, 11 Osceola (14) 19:45; one of Pinellas County's top runners proving she can run with the best, 3rd at 3A-3
17. Chloe Benoist, 10 Lecanto (33) 19:06; makes a huge jump in the rankings by finishing 4th at 3A-2
18. Elizabeth Harper, 10 Merrit Island (40) 19:46; top finisher by over 30 seconds on slow course at 3A-4
19. Danielle DeGreef, 9 Gulf Coast (NR) 19:52; bursts onto the rankings, finishing 4th at 3A-3
20 Rachel Petrik, 11 Fort Myers (23) 20:00; 5th at 3A-3; has been closer to Spann, and could do so as well at state
21. Shelby Blaes, 12 Vanguard (13) 19:15; 10th at 3A-1, times have steadily been dropping all year
22. Kayla Vinson, 12 Ridgeview (31) 19:15; 11th at 3A-1, running for individual honors only, will look to go out with a bang
23. Dayna Cline, 12 King (20) 19:17; tireless runner will look to lead her team top a top 10 finish in her last race, 5th at 3A-2
24. Laura Nelson, 12 Niceville (25) 19:17; 12th at 3A-1, team's #2 runner will look to close gap with Mosley
25. Kelly Bahn, 12 Chiles (39) 19:18; 13th at 3A-1, makes a jump in rankings with big PR
26. Courtney Russo, 11 Fort Myers (18) 20:06; 6th at 3A-3, running great race behind Petrik
27. Brianna Degennaro, 12 Fort Walton Beach (35) 19:22; 14th at 3A-1; 3rd of squad that placed 3 in top 15
28. Regan McCallister, 9 Niceville (NR) 19:23; grabs final individual qualifying spot in 3A-1; team also put 3 in top 15
29. Annie Serpa, 9 Niceville (48) 19:23; just a hair behind teammate Serpa at 3A-1
30. N Natalie Novak, 10 Lakewood Ranch (32) 20:09; surprise #2 finisher for LWR, ahead of McDermott and Zarrella
31. Araceli Leon, 9 Cape Coral (9) 20:12; capable of finishing much higher than this on Saturday, 8th at 3A-3
32. Devin McDermott, 11 Lakewood Ranch (16) 20:14; 9th at 3A-3, along with Zarrella, expected to finish much higher
33. Catherine Blaney, 10 Belleview (50) 19:32; 6th at 3A-2, will be running for individual honors along with older sister
34. Amber Duncan, 11 Armwood (NR) 19:33; had never broken 20, ends up with PR by over 30 seconds, 7th at 3A-2
35. Shannon Morris, 11 Creekside (37) 19:34; top 20 finish in highly contested race
36. Ashlyn Stadtlander, 11 St. Cloud (NR) 20:21; runner-up in 3A-4, for team no one is talking about
37. Jessica Van Cleave, 9 Creekside (34) 19:36; #20 at 3A-1 and 3rd team finisher
38. Anaya Reid, 11 St. Cloud (NR) 20:27; takes #3 spot in 3A-4, forms 6 second 1-3 split with teammates
39. Stephanie Reynolds, 12 Chiles (41) 19:40; team only goes as far as she does being #5 runner
40. Katelyn Stadtlander, 11 St. Cloud (NR) 20:27; finishes in 4th, just seconds behind twin sister
41.  Danielle Turk, 10 Oviedo (36) 20:29; 5th at 3A-4 and top finisher for region champ
42.  Reilly Dawson, 10 Dwyer (NR) 20:30; 6th at 3A-4; team makes state by a hair over Martin County
43.  Jessica Ortiz, 11 Lake Region (NR) 19:45; 8th at 3A-2, been very consistent for the Thunder
44. Samantha Travis, 12 Harmony (NR) 20:32; 7th at 3A-4, and top finisher for squad
45.  Ashley Laguna, 12 Creekside (43) 19:48; 22nd at 3A-1, solid sub-20 showing
46. Erin Gethin, 12 Viera (NR) 20:36; 8th at 3A-4, qualified as an individual along with Trevino
47. Katherine Lutton, 11 Hillsborough (NR) 19:49; qualified as an individual for the Terriers with PR
48. Nikita Shah, 10 Wiregrass Ranch (11) 19:51; will likely make a huge jump at state; has been as low as 18:56 this year, at districts
49. Jessica Gillard, 11 Chiles (NR) 19:52; one of all 7 Chiles runners to go under 20 at 3A-1
50. Sarah Hartman, 10 Sickles (NR) 19:53; one of top sophomores in Hillsborough County qualifies as individual

 

 

 

 

4A Girls Rankings:
By: Ryan Raposo, Ferguson HS - rraposo@dadeschools.net
 
Team Commentary: Just a week after it looked like Lourdes had opened up the gap, a tricky regional week has now turned the rankings upside down. Listed below are the state qualifying teams listed in order by mock meet results (almost). As of now, Plant has to be the favorite because three of their top five just ran big PRs and they easily have the best spread & team average combination. Now although Dr. Phillips is currently listed the #2 (in the mock meet) and Lourdes appears to be in a tight race for 3rd with Sarasota Riverview, I would figure Lourdes to be the real runner-up team right now. Why? Just a simple comparison of the difficulty of the regional courses and based off of their entire season and district performances. The Virtual Meet below can better illustrate just how close Plant and Lourdes should be. However, just remember that the podium positions are up for grabs this year to whoever wants it the most! Good luck ladies and great job this season!
       
Team State Rankings:
  Team Name, Region -  (Prev.) Comments:
1. Plant, 2- (T-2) 1st in R2, Mock State Score- 71; Avg: 19:12.10,  Spread: 53s
  Why they'd win: Preparedness. They had a strong pack performance at the District which led them into a tremendous regional race. They currently have two girls ranked in the top ten and three in the top 15, which is majorly important. Coach Harrison has these girls in top shape and they're ready to race to victory. Why they'd lose: Lack of Depth. While it only takes five runners to make a team, this team is only a strong five deep. That could be a tough scenario when trying to win a championship because if any of them drop the ball and have a bad day, they might not get the gold.
       
2. Our Lady of Lourdes, 4-  (1) 1st in R4, Mock State Score- 165; Avg: 19:46.20,  Spread: 1:09
  Why they'd win: Talent & Depth. This team has had a strong interchangeable group the entire year and is completely riddled with gifted athletes. While the region was difficult and tricky, they can definitely re-group to get ready for a showdown with Plant (who hasn't beaten Lourdes all year long). Why they'd lose: Stress. Partially mentally from having the bullseye on their back all year long, but physically as well. While their success lies in their depth, it cannot help you if your athletes are tweaked, tired or injured. If they can't successfully manage their stressors this week, they'll be looking at silver at best.
       
3. Dr. Phillips, 2-  (T-2) 2nd in R2, Mock State Score- 127; Avg: 19:21.12,  Spread: 2:14, (:54 from 2-3)
  Why they'd win: Competitveness. They started the season a little bit under the radar (although they were my darkhorse), but in the last few championship weeks, their top girls have really pulled it together. Right now their top two score only four points and so they're basically only scoring three girls. Why they'd lose: Gaps. In order to have a realistic shot at the title they have to bring their #3 into the top 15-20 and the 4-5 have to be in the top 40. Spread is always important at the big show and they're hurting in their back-half. But if Lourdes is limping, they'll easily steal a podium position.
       
  Top Five Hopefuls: While Sarasota Riverview looked tremendous at the Region, I still think it’s a long shot for them to break into the top three. (And I don't think any other school is anywhere near the top three either.) But right behind that #4 spot is a large group of Region 1 teams and an ever-improving St. Pete team that will all knock each other off in attempting that top five finish. But although a good day could put any of these squads into the top five, just remember that on a bad day, there are another handful of teams that will easily take their top ten rank. Spruce Creek could turn some heads with their strong pack.
       
4. Sarasota Riverview, 2-  (7) 3rd in R2, Mock State Score- 166; Avg: 19:45.95,  Spread: 1:36  
5. Vero Beach, 1-  (6) 2nd in R1, Mock State Score- 211; Avg: 19:55.40,  Spread: 2:27, (1:20 from 2-3)
6. Spruce Creek, 1-  (8) 1st in R1, Mock State Score- 222; Avg: 20:03.20,  Spread: 33s
7. St. Petersburg, 2- (T-10) 4th in R2, Mock State Score- 232; Avg: 20:07.82,  Spread: 1:24
8. Mandarin, 1- (5) 4th in R1, Mock State Score- 251; Avg: 20:11.60,  Spread: 2:06
9. Hagerty, 1- (4) 3rd in R1, Mock State Score- 259; Avg: 20:17.20,  Spread: 1:02
       
  Top Ten Hopefuls: Just as competitive as the top five group, any of these teams could realistically catch the top ten if they go to work. The biggest difference between the top five hopefuls  and the top ten hopefuls is their spreads. Top five-ten teams are typically under 90 seconds, top ten-fifteen teams aren't. So unless you're scoring a couple of girls in single digits, you can't really afford to have a spread in the 2-minute range. If you can close the pack, then you'll close the team gap. Look out for St. Thomas and Ferguson that should run strong after running a hard regional course.
       
10. Olympia, 2- (T-10) 5th in R2, Mock State Score- 272; Avg: 20:15.33,  Spread: 2:32, (1:07 from 3-4)
11. Winter Park, 2-  (T-10) 6th in R2, Mock State Score- 284; Avg: 20:21.98,  Spread: 2:53, (1:09 from 4-5)
12. St. Thomas Aquinas, 3-  (15) 1st in R3, Mock State Score- 316; Avg: 20:32.00,  Spread: 2:02
13. Ferguson, 4-  (9) 2nd in R4, Mock State Score- 320; Avg: 20:33.57,  Spread: 1:27, (60s from 3-4)
14. Melbourne, 1-  (T-14) 5th in R1, Mock State Score- 329; Avg: 20:27.00,  Spread: 3:10, (2:06 from 2-3) 
       
  Bottom Ten: It will be a struggle for any of these teams to catch Lake Mary and claim top fifteen. It's more or less a South Florida party where everyone (for the first time in a long time) has a sub 22:00 team average, but for top team success you'd have to break that 21:00 minute barrier much like Lake Mary did. And while I don't think LM will crack the top ten, their strong pack could easily put them in 11th or 12th to which almost all of the Region 3 and 4 teams will follow. And if I had to pick, I think that Park Vista and Spanish River will show up strong at the state meet to crack into the teens.
15. Lake Mary, 1- (13) 6th in R1, Mock State Score- 382; Avg: 20:52.80,  Spread: 50s, (64s for 1-7)
16. West Broward, 3-  (22) 5th in R3, Mock State Score- 462; Avg: 21:27.95,  Spread: 3:30, (2:21 from 2-3)
17. Miami Sunset, 4-  (16) 3rd in R4, Mock State Score- 468; Avg: 21:23.03,  Spread: 3:20, (1:20 from 1-2)
18. Cypress Bay, 3- (18) 4th in R3, Mock State Score- 493; Avg: 21:31.24,  Spread: 3:28, (1:50 from 1-2)
19. Miami Northwestern, 4- (20) 4th in R4, Mock State Score- 503; Avg: 21:40.37,  Spread: 3:24, (1:56 from 2-3)
20. Miami Killian, 4-  (17) 5th in R4, Mock State Score- 510; Avg: 21:44.90,  Spread: 4:10, (1:55 from 2-3)
21. Park Vista, 3- (23) 2nd in R3, Mock State Score- 547; Avg: 21:37.41,  Spread: 1:10
22. Spanish River, 3-  (21) 3rd in R3, Mock State Score- 549; Avg: 21:45.66,  Spread: 1:20
23. Monarch, 3- (24) 6th in R3, Mock State Score- 563; Avg: 21:55.10,  Spread: 2:27, (1:01 from 2-3)
24. Coral Reef, 4-  (18) 6th in R4, Mock State Score- 568; Avg: 21:57.49,  Spr: 2:38, (1:05 from 4-5)
  Notes: While Region 2 looked a little fast and although I know Regions 3 & 4 were on a hard course, I haven't had much luck in time adjusting for the state championship before. So take the results as they are (with the Lourdes exception), and utilize the Virtual Meet for overall potential based on all season performances.
       
State Virtual Meet: https://fl.milesplit.com/meets/virtual/2010/cc/hs/f/results?teams=Girls4A_State
       
Individuals Commentary: Keeping with last week's commentary, 11 of the top 13 remain stable without much fluctuation in their positions. That pack should separate from everyone else pretty early on. From there we get into the crazy jumble where anyone and everyone keeps bouncing around. The biggest surprise was the big disparities in time from District 4 to Region 2 (they got way faster) and District 8 to Region 4 (definitely a slower course). Last week had Lourdes in a landslide and this week has Plant powering it out. Let's just say it should be a dual meet with Dr. Phillips waiting in the wings to pounce if someone slips up. The key to success to getting all of your top five inside the top 40 and trying to slide them up to the top 20 as much as possible. 
       
Individual State Rankings: 
  Athlete Name, Grade – Team (Prev.)  Time, Comments:
1. Bridget Blake, 10 - Dr. Phillips (1) 18:05.77, 1st in R2 - She keeps pulling further away. Sub 18 performance at the Ranch perhaps?
2. Vanessa Valentine, 11 - Melbourne (3) 18:17.00, 1st in R1 - Still betting on her as #2. But I know she'll go for the gold!
3. Dana Demsky, 10 - Dr. Phillips (2) 18:35.46, 2nd in R2 - Really solidifying that 1-2 punch that could make the difference team wise.
4. Emily Ahrens, 12 - Vero Beach (4) 18:46.00, 2nd in R1 - Right now she's the leader in a strong and fast chase pack. Keep it up!
5. Julia Rodriguez, 10 - Plant (27) 18:47.30, 3rd in R2 - Huge drop from the Region, big PR! Getting ready for the big show.
6. Danielle Kissel, 11 - Plant (23) 18:53.21, 4th in R2 - Same as her teammate above. If they do that at state, they're nearly untouchable.
7. Grace Thomas, 12 - Vero Beach (7) 18:58.00, 3rd in R1 - Needs to push to be top 5. Talent needs to overcome inconsistency.
8. Mary Kate Ponder, 11 - Mandarin (6) 18:59.00, 4th in R1 - Should solidly be a top 10 girl, could really sneak into the top 5 though.
9. Kaitlyn Campo, 10 - Olympia (10) 19:01.31, 5th in R2 - One of the most consistent girls all season. She should be a medal winner.
10. Victoria Villarnovo, 11 - Lourdes (11) 19:02.69, 1st in R4 - Ranked right where she needs to be for her team to have shot. Should definitely be top 10.
11. Elle Baker, 12 - Melbourne (5) 19:05.00, 5th in R1 - Not the fastest Region performance, but she's easily top 5 potential.
12. Kira Soderstorm, 11 - Winter Park (9) 19:07.25, 6th in R2 - Coming back strong! On a good day she could be a medal winner as well.
13. Kali Benavides, 12 - Killian (12) 19:10.07, 2nd in R4 - Having a tremendous season, needs to have a strong finish for a chance at top 10.
14. Katherine Ralston, 10 - Plant (34) 19:10.24, 7th in R2 - If she's the third girl for Plant and in the top 15, that'll be the KO punch.
15. Abigail Hagan, 9 - Sarasota Riverview (21) 19:10.52, 8th in R2 - The newly crowned top freshman in 4A. Looking strong at the right time!
16. Abby Ritter, 12 - Wharton (32) 19:12.41, 9th in R2 (Individual Qualifier)
17. Regan Farrow, 10 - Lake Howell (19) 19:19.00, 6th in R1 (Individual Qualifier)
18. Sarah Miller, 11 - Sarasota Riverview (20) 19:20.51, 10th in R2
19. Mary Hall, 12 - Seminole (NR) 19:24.81, 11th in R2 (Individual Qualifier)
20. Alex Eaton, 9 - St. Petersburg (36) 19:25.69, 12th in R2
21. Emily Hernandez, 9 - Sunset (29) 19:27.92, 3rd in R4
22. Caroline Gibson, 10 - Plant (26) 19:28.93, 13th in R2
23. Amber Johnson, 10 - Dr. Phillips (16) 19:29.21, 14th in R2
24. Alyssa Hamel, 11 - Olympia (25) 19:30.47, 15th in R2
25. Ashley Lesnik, 12 - Cypress Bay (41) 19:33.92, 1st in R3 - Strong finishing kick at Region!
26. Bianca Barrios, 9 - Lourdes (13) 19:34.24, 4th in R4
27. Chloe Sell, 11 - West Broward (NR) 19:38.44, 2nd in R3
28. Christina Kalis, 9 - St. Thomas Aquinas (NR) 19:40.12, 3rd in R3
29. Patricia Lewis, 10 - Sarasota Riverview (28) 19:40.32, 17th in R2
30. Kara Halfaker, 11 - Plant (33) 19:40.78, 18th in R2
31. Theresa Duncan, 10 - Mandarin (15) 19:42.00, 7th in R1
32. Bryce Seymour, 10 - Hagerty (14) 19:42.01, 8th in R1
33. Erin Waterman, 10 -  St. Petersburg (37) 19:42.51, 19th in R2
34. Isabelle Amaro, 11 - West Broward (24) 19:42.84, 4th in R3
35. Rachel Singer, 9 - Winter Springs (22) 19:43.00, 9th in R1 (Individual Qualifier)
36. Alex Payne, 11 - St. Thomas Aquinas (NR) 19:44.74, 5th in R3
37. Altoniece Williams, 10 - Northwestern (NR) 19:48.09, 5th in R4
38. Ciera Williams, 12 - Winter Park (45) 19:48.47, 23rd in R2
39. Savannah Dearden, 12 - St. Petersburg (30) 19:49.35, 24th in R2
40. Zoe Volenec, 11 - Spruce Creek (NR) 19:50.00, 10th in R1
41. Lindsey Sullivan, 9 - Spruce Creek (47) 19:51.00, 11th in R1
42. Kayla Miller, 11 - Sarasota Riverview (NR) 19:51.55, 25th in R2
43. Kristin Yocum, 12 - Winter Springs (31) 19:52.00, 12th in R1 (Individual Qualifier)
44. Courtney Filliben, 10 - Lourdes (NR) 19:52.05, 6th in R4
45. Jocelin Adona, 11 - Spruce Creek (NR) 19:56.00, 13th in R1
46. Tara Cripe, 12 - Fletcher (43) 19:57.00, 14th in R1 (Individual Qualifier)
47. Emilie Flament, 10 - Olympia (51) 19:52.37, 26th in R2
48. Samantha Mccan, 12 - Lake Brantley (NR) 20:00.00, 15th in R1 (Individual Qualifier)
49. Lauren Gonzalez, 11 - Ferguson (NR) 20:00.84, 7th in R4 - Great job Lauren! Go Falcons!
50. Stephanie De la Guarda, 9 - Ferguson (NR) 20:01.04, 8th in R4 - Great job Stephy! Go Falcons!
  Notes: To be top 50, you're going to have to break 20 minutes. The championship make-or-break pack has dropped from the 19:50s to the 19:40s. After the region results, the 12 seconds between 19:40-19:52 now separates 17 places, 28th-44th. To go for the team win, you need to be inside or in front of that pack. But at state, expect that pack to move up into the 19:30s.
       
       

  

 

 

1A Boys Rankings:
By: Carl Egbert : cegbert@communityschoolnaples.org
 
Commentary: I personally think the 1A individual race is going to be the best of all the classes. It will not be won in the fastest time of the day , but I think atleast 5 different runners could win. Trinity Prep had 3 guys run fast than the winning time of 15:44 last year at the Pre State Meet. David Kilgore has thrown down some crazy fast times at Great American and on his home course. Which just leaves the 2 x defending champ Patrick Swain. He has been going about his business quietly running fast and won the Panhandle Meet in 15:37, which is 13 seconds faster than last year. I think when the dust settles Mr. Swain will be leaving the ranch as a 3x individual state champ. He flat out knows how to race and will be standing atop the podium once again. Team wise and believe Holy Trinity has closed the gap on Trinity Prep. If Alex Brown can stand on his head again ( goalie reference sorry ) this will be a lot closer than many imagined earlier this year. Can Castagnaro,Moore and Brown run together and finish right with the trio from Trinity Prep? I honestly believe than these two teams with have 8 of the top 10 runners in the race. 
 
Team Rankings:
  Team Name - Region  Comments:
1. Trinity Prep - 2 They will win but it is going to be very tight.
2. Holy Trinity - 2 Has really closed the gap and will give TP all they can handle 
3. Maclay - 1 Year after year Coach Droze cranks out successful teams
4. PKY - 1 Will be 4th this year but well clear of anyone else
5. Circle Christian - 2 Only 4th in Region 2 but will be Top 5 on Saturday
6. First Academy - 2 Will flip flop with Circle on Saturday
7. Northside Christian - 3 Region 3 champ really needs to be on to be Top 5
8. Mount Dora Bible - 2 Smart races and they could find themselves flirting with Top 5
9. Admiral Farrugut - 3 Had a hiccup at Regions but still good enough to be Top 10
10. Kings Academy - 2 This makes all 6 Region 2 teams in Top 10
11. South Florida Heat - 4  
12. Palmer Trinity - 4  
13. Community School - 3  
14. Shorecrest Prep  
15. Westminster Academy  
16. Evangelical Christian  
17. Coral Springs Christian  
18. Tampa Prep  
19. Bishop Snyder - 1  
20. Pensacola Christian  
21. Miami Country Day - 4  
22. St. Johns Country Day  
23. Dade Christian - 4  
24. Mandarin Christian  
     
Individual Rankings: 
  Athlete Name – Grade – Team  Time, Comments:
1. Patrick Swain - 12 - Maclay It will be a 3 PEAT for Mr. Swain
2. David Kilgore - 12 - Holy Trinity Will push Swain all the way to the line
3. Griffin Jaworski - 12 - Trinity Prep Will lead a parade of teammates across the line
4. Whitner Chase - 12 - Trinity Prep Will be joined at the hip with teammates
5. Ryan Gousse - 12 - Trinity Prep 3rd TP runner in top 5
6. Joey Castagnaro - 11 - Holy Trinity Will be sub 16 and right in the mix
7. Caleb Wishart - 12 - Westwood  Caps off great year with monster run here
8. Daniel Moore - 11 - Holy Trinity Will flirt with sub 16 on Saturday
9. Daniel Salas - 10 - Trinity Prep 4th TP runner in 
10. Alex Brown - 10 - Holy Trinity Just misses being top sophomore in the race
11. Austin Stevens - 12 - Maclay He always runs big when it counts
12. Mark Mutz - 11 - Lakeland Chr Caps off fantastic fall with big run here
13. Garrett Westlake - 10 - PKY  
14. Michael Miller - 12 - Kings Academy  
15. Emanual Kent - 12 - Upperroom Christian  

  

 

 

 

2A Boys Rankings:
By: Kyle Butler - kyledbutler@gmail.com
 
Commentary: Well, the season is winding down and the state meet is roughly a month away. The 2A race is going to be very exciting, both individually and team wise. I am in no way an expert on 2A, so forgive me if I make any major mistakes. Good luck to everyone the rest of the season and here are my class 2A rankings.
 
Team Rankings:
  Team Name -    Comments:
1. Estero -   Have been ranked #1 for most of the season now and should finish
with a well deserved state title!!
2. Bishop Kenny -   They crew from J-Ville always run well when it matters
most, at the state meet.
3. Ransom Everglades -   Great coaching, a great front runner in Irigoyen, and
this team should be top 3.
4. Berkeley Prep -   On a good day they could be top 2. On an off day they
could fall outside the top 5.
5. Matanzas -   A good race from their #1 David Drumm is crucial if they want
to be top 5.
6. West Florida Tech    
7. Nease    
8. Tampa Jesuit    
9. Astronaut    
10. Rockledge    
11. George M. Steinbrenner    
12. Labelle    
13. Cocoa Beach    
14. Immokalee    
15. Pine Crest    
16. Lincoln Park Academy    
17. Archbishop McCarthy    
18. Pensacola Catholic    
19. Cocoa    
20. West Shore    
21. Bishop Moore    
22. Episcopal    
23. Jensen Beach    
24. University    
       
Individual Rankings: 
  Athlete Name (Team)   Comments:
1. Bert Irigoyen (Ransom Everglades)   He was my pick in August and I still believe he will be STATE CHAMP!! Predicted time: 15:36.
2. David Drumm (Matanzas)    
3. Dieumy Duclos (Godby)    
4. Aaron Rojas (Estero)    
5. Cody Gibbons (Nease)    
6. Nick Papa (Lk. Highland)    
7. Nicholas Palermo (North Broward Prep)    
8. Caleb Baker (Labelle)    
9. Gabriel Barron (Labelle)    
10. Nicolas Mascardo (W. Florida Tech)    
11. Matthew Morris (Bolles)    
12. Blake Lopez (Tampa Jesuit)    
13. Mackenzie Reynolds (Nease)    
14. Taylor Hickey (Rockledge)    
15. Conor Kelley (Archbishop Mc.)    
16. Austin Cox (Lincoln Park)    
17. John Roach (Nease)    
18. Aaron Neal (W. Florida Tech)    
19. Aaron Desena (Cocoa)    
20. Trent Craig (Cypress Lake)    
21. Eric Portalatin (Bishop Kenny)    
22. Cameron Allen (Matanzas)    
23. Kentre Patterson (Episcopal)    
24. Jacob Leuze (South Walton)    
25. Tim Hendricks (North Broward Prep)    

 

 

 

3A Boys Rankings:
By: David Gardner, Timber Creek HS- david.gardner@ocps.net
 
Commentary: The clouds have been approaching for three weeks now and the storm that is the Boys 3A State Championship is finally here.  There's bound to be some thunder in the team battle where it’s a race between Four schools rumbling for the title, with the possibility of some surprise lightning from the following "front".  It will probably be all "hail" Jimmy Clark for individual honors, but the "high pressure" may crown an unexpected champion.  It could be raining "wildcats" or "underdogs" come this Saturday or maybe the forecast is for flash floods, just deep enough for a Tarpon to brave the rough waters.  When all is said and done there's no doubt that the sun will break the clouds and shine its victorious light on a season and finish worth the wait.
 
Team Rankings:
  Team Name (CITY) -  (Prev.)  Comments:
1. CHARLOTTE  (PUNTA GORDA)   (1) As Slim Chin would say "FAST DON'T LIE" and Dat' Be Da' Truth for Charlotte.  Although the Tarps have not fanned their fins lately, it seems a little idle swimming will do the trick to prepare for the turbulent waters the lie ahead.  This squad has been in neutral since the State Series has started...and rightfully so.  They will need a Top 10 showing from their Two Horseman and whether its pale or dark finishing #1 for the Charlotte stable the color they hope to see in the end is gold.  Mendez has to have a strong showing to keep the Tarps from getting netted by Belen.  I hate to continuously re-quote myself, but if its a foot race in the end...I like this squad to WIN!  
2. BELEN JESUIT (MIAMI)  (2) They've been building strength ever since I ranked them #2 to start the season…and the chip on their furry wolverine shoulders just keeps getting bigger.  After rampaging through their District and Region, Belen is locked, loaded, and has two smoking barrels that are Clemente and Lindsay.  Currently, Jesuit's 3-4-5 are running much stronger than Charlotte, but that all changes come Showdown Saturday.  The wolverines will try to aim their sites high and turn the Tarps into "holy mackerel".
3. BOOKER T. WASHINGTON (PENSACOLA) (4) Its been a steady Booker plot the last couple of weeks for this squad, winning their District over Leon and then taking Region honors from the King beasts.  Kotick and Fricke have proved their Top Cat status as of late and hopefully will not "stray" away from a Top 10 finish at State.  The story will continue to build with the help of The Bordelons getting in the "meow mix" with the other cat crew, but its important they bring a strong 4-5 to the "tale's" climax...one that could give Booker T. that surprise ending to the season they are looking for. 
4. LEON (TALLAHASSEE)  (3) In Dade City, the mighty Dade City…will the Lion sleep tonight?  Hopefully for Leon, these finicky felines will be wide awake and ready to capture their 4th consecutive crown.  Their extreme depth should allow them to keep the Top 3 close, but who knows who will run 3-4-5 for them.  Saturday's horoscope for Leo says, "The lion that harnesses the strength of the pride feeds forever in the race of life" Maybe the stars will align for Leon.
5. WIREGRASS RANCH (WESLEY CHAPEL)  # 1 REGION 2 (5) The big question for Wiregrass is "Can they rage against the Top 4 that is the 3A Machine?" Answer: Yes, as long as Reilly and Pulsifer finish Top 25 and relieve some pressure on their 3 through 5 spots.  If the rest of the herd stays within "mooing" distance, The Ranch could contend. The 'bull's-eye' is set on Leon and if Wiregrass can come away with a Top 4 finish it will be "Bulls on Parade" in Dade!
6. CHILES (TALLAHASSEE)   (12) I see the Bad Moon arising…I see trouble on the way…Chiles has been supplying a fair share of trouble lately for other teams and running more like rabid werewolves.  The Lawton pack have made the biggest jump in the rankings and it couldn't come at a better time.  They have pawed their way up six spots mainly due to the Big Bad Buzzard wolf.  Buzzard boy is surely not foraging for scraps anymore, he's got his pack on the move and hunting larger game now.  Come this Saturday there will be a Bad Moon on the rise... 
7. FORT WALTON  BEACH (FT. WALTON BCH) # 4 REGION 1 (7) FWB is looking like it needs to Find What Brings them together.  After a sub par performance at Region, these Vikings need to right the ship if they want to stay afloat for a Top 5 finish.  After letting Chiles slip past their guard and squaring dead even with Niceville the Fort Walton bunch has to "Lief" everything on the course this Saturday.  They need outstanding performances from Dearmon and Ammons as well as their shipmates.  With Godfrey running the strongest lately and Murphy making a surge... a new "Day" has to rise soon for FWB if they want to avoid a Nordic Nightmare.
8. NICEVILLE (NICEVILLE) (6) You know what they say…"If you can't say anything NICE….." Well forget that…there's too much to say about this flock.  Although they have seemed somewhat perched in the early rounds of District and Region, I fully expect these Eagles to swoop down and take what is rightfully theirs.  Howell has his sights set on a Top 10 finish, while Riggs needs to re-sharpen his talons before he takes flight.  Lacombe, Morken, and Fralix have to be perfect for the Eagles to "have a nice day" at Dade.
9. LINCOLN (TALLAHASSEE) (13) Dade City could be the Land of Lincoln on Saturday... this squad has been making huge strides since District and after narrowly missing an assassination on FWB and Niceville in Region 1, the Trojans are marching strong.  Slupeki and Company will try the "wooden horse" attack on the rest of the field...and it just might work as long as Trevor "Keep In" Touchton and Jessie "Stay" Close manage to bring the rest of the army to Slupe.  This is a battle that Lincoln has been preparing for...their armor is secure and their weapons are equipped, the only question is...will the Trojans run "safe" or go for it all. 
10. FT. MYERS (FT. MYERS)  (10) Tsunami Sam has had the perfect conditions to begin to strengthen into Saturday…take the early stage low pressure of Districts and add the high pressure of the State Championship and what you have is a Green Wave that is on a collision course with destiny.  Led by the improving Ryan Stafford at the "front" of this system with the help of Brown, Whittle, Shearman, and Bautista...Fort Myers has a 90% chance to finish with high winds and cause major destruction in Dade City.
11. LAND O LAKES (LAND O LAKES)  (14)  
12. PALMETTO RIDGE (NAPLES)   (16)  
13. NAPLES (NAPLES)  (8)  
14. GEORGE JENKINS (LAKELAND) (NR)  
15. NATURE COAST (BROOKSVILLE) (NR)  
16. ST. CLOUD (ST. CLOUD)  (18)  
17. PEMBROKE PINES (PEMBROKE PINES) (NR)  
18. MARTIN COUNTY (STUART)  (19)  
19. MITCHELL (NEW PORT RICHEY) (18)  
20. LEMON BAY (ENGLEWOOD)  (17)  
21 SICKLES (TAMPA) (NR)  
22 EDGEWATER (ORLANDO) (NR)  
23 SOUTH FORK (STUART) (NR)  
24 NORTH FORT MYERS (FORT MYERS) (NR)  
       
Individual Rankings: The individual battle at State will be a roll of the dice.  I really see it boiling down to a race between three guys at the finish and if Cardillo is close to Clemente and Clark with an 800 to go…the odds go up for an upset.  After that, the field is stacked and it really is just a flip of the coin on how things play out.  Remember folks, these are PREDICTIONS and should be read as such...Heads or tails? It's anyone's call...
         
  Athlete Name (SCHOOL)  Time, Comments:
1. JIMMY CLARK (CREEKSIDE) The Final battle for Clark has arrived…will it be Death for Superman or will he prevail?  Jimmy leaps the field in a single bound and maintains his superpower hold on the competition.  The top of the medal stand provides Clark with his Fortress of Solitude before he flies off to destroy stronger foe in G'ville.  
2. ELLIOT CLEMENTE (BELEN JESUIT) Clemente will try his best Lex Luthor impression by holding pace with the "speeding bullet". Elliot provides an ample opponent, but realizes it seems like the Earth is moving in the reverse direction at the finish.  Clemente can prevail if he can only avoid the shift in gravity...Drats!  Superman wins again.
3 TYLER CARDILLO (CHARLOTTE) "I've been through the desert on a horse with no name"…but in Dade City that horse's name is Tyler.  It’s the race he has been waiting for all season and now the darkhorse is a favorite.  Clark and Clemente have to pull away far enough at end or it may be a win bigger than the Triple Crown for Cardillo.
4 JACOB KOTICK (BOOKER T. WASHINGTON) Jacob's ladder has been climbing steadily in the past two weeks and a Top 5 finish seems inevitable at State.  The fuse has been lit for this Wildcat, the others should watch out for a speed explosion in the end, Kotick, tick, tick…Boom!
5 JOHN HAZELTON (LEON) Once the early morning fog and "haze" fades away on the Little Everglades horizon, a lone Leon lion may stand victorious.  John's times have been a perfect progression to peak this Saturday and as he takes that last "circle of life" Hazelton could be crowned the new Leon King.
6 RILEY DOHERTY (LEON) The "doher" is wide open for Riley this year…the question is, will he come through when it counts.  Last year Doherty stepped up when he needed to, but can Leon re-"li on" him again? My guess is Riley won't be tamed.
7 WILL BRIDGES (EDGEWATER) Saturday's field of competitors is definitely not the River Kwai, but I pick Will to finish "over" most of the bunch.  Bridges whistles along with the front pack for a Seventh place finish.
8 RYAN SCHNULLE (CHARLOTTE) Behold a Pale horse'…Schnulle could be the revelation that Charlotte is looking for this Saturday.  This mustang has 5.0 under the hood and is revved and ready to disregard all speed limits at the Glades track. Ryan has to Top Lindsay if Charlotte wants the team title...'and power was given unto them' 
9 THOMAS HOWELL (NICEVILLE) Howell looks to bring the Niceville Nest a Top 5 finish.  Although you should never count your Eagles before they finish, it doesn't appear you can ruffle the feathers of this young bird.  The only freshman in the field that makes a squawk, Thomas soars to new heights on Saturday.
10 ALEX FOSS (GEORGE JENKINS) The season for Alex so far has been like clockwork.  After putting on a clinic at Region over Perez, Foss is programmed for a Top 10 to finish his senior stint.  His radar is fixed and his form has been mechanical... I'm beginning to think this kid is actually a Robot.
11 PETER FRICKE (BOOKER T. WASHINGTON) 15:35 Region/15:55
12 JOSEPH LINDSAY (BELEN JESUIT) 16:04 Region/15:40
13 QUINCY O' CONNOR (CELEBRATION) 16:19 Region/15:47
14 CHRISTIAN BUZZARD (CHILES) 15:56 Region/15:57
15 CARLOS MIRANDA (PALMETTO RIDGE) 16:36 Region/15:57
16 JOSE PEREZ (HAINES CITY) 15:59 Region/16:07
17 RYAN STAFFORD (FORT MYERS) 17:04 Region/16:03
18 JOSH REILLY (WIREGRASS RANCH) 16:07 Region/16:06
19 JACOB SLUPEKI (LINCOLN) 16:12 Region/16:00
20 ANTHONY BORREGO (CHARLOTTE) 17:11 Region/15:54
21 DILLON HODGE  (PEDRO MENENDEZ) 16:15 Region/16:14
22 THOMAS ARNOLD (BOOKER T. WASHINGTON) 16:05 Region/16:18
23 ADAM LEO (BARTRAM TRAIL) 16:14 Region/16:19
24 AVERY LOPEZ  (BELEN JESUIT) 16:25 Region/16:08
25 ALAN WISE (IDA S. BAKER) 17:26 Region/16:09

 

 

 

4A Boys Rankings:
By: Jorge Fleitas, Columbus HS - jfleitas@columbushs.com
 
Team Rankings:
  Team Name  Comments:
1. Columbus is still a top team and should keep the number #1 spot. Most of the Hellion fans would like their teams to stay under the radar and quietly dominate Class 4A. But it seems to be less stressful to be considered the underdog seeing that both DP and Colonial had faster team averages going into the State Meet
2. Colonial This young group looks to be the favorite coming in to the state meet with the best Regional team average of 16:05…
3. Dr. Phillips are quietly becoming a dominant figure in Class 4A. With 4 under16:13 and a solid 5... Watch out for Dp…
4. HB Plant moved up three spots. With two Key scorers under 15:50 and a solid supporting cast under 16:40.
5. Winter Park look for the Park to redeem itself come this Saturday.. With a healthy and confident Anguish and Posada..
6. John I Leonard A great #1 in Pickering puts this team in striking distance to finish in the top 4 at States..
7. Park Vista This team seems to have made the most quite second half of the season comebacks, coming just shy by two points to John I Leonard at the Regional meet.
8. Newsome a knew rising team arguably coming out of the Region of Death looks to place in the top 5 at states…
9. Hagerty had a big win in Region 1 but they have an outside chances to make a top 5 finish, but it is good for  Hagerty fans to finally get a solid win, and a Regional title. Congrats and Good Luck at the show!!!
10. Boone led with a strong 1-2 punch this team proves it is state worthy and a possible top 8 finish is possible.
11. Mandarin  
12. Fleming Island  
13. Winter Springs  
14. Vero Beach  
15. Buchholz  
       
Individual Rankings:     
  Athlete Name – Team    
1. Ryan Pickering--John I Leonard    
2. Armando Del Valle--Columbus    
3. Phil Duncan-- Boone    
4. Logan Kruse-- Dr. Phillips    
5. Eduardo Garcia- Mandarin    
6. John Logan Hines    
7. Chase Sutton-- Seminole    
8. Andres Aroyo-- Colonial    
9. Billy Anguish-- Winter Park    
10. Max del Monte- Chamberlain    
11. Mark Gulesian--Columbus    
12. Santiago Zerda- Coral Glades    
13. Bo Nalson-- HB Plant    
14. Dylan Cook -- Coral Reef    
15. Chris Godwin-- Buchholz    
16. Thomas Christianberry    
17. Nick Posada- Winter Park    
18. Jesus Rivas-- Hialeah Miami Lakes    
19. Ricky Brown    
20 Mitchell Moore -- Olympia    
21. Andrew Mendoza    
22. Jake Covington--Chamberlain    
23. Daniel Millay-- Dr.Phillips    
24. Jose Estevez--Columbus    
25. Josh Boggs-- Dr.Phillips